Daily Rundown for January 19, 2013

Teams •-• Conferences •-• Daily Rundown •-• Blog •-• CBBS 101 •-• FAQ •-• About •-• CFBSheets

Games for January 19, 2013

Click on the matchup in black above the first table for in-depth game breakdown and prediction center(ex. Click on "TeamA @ TeamB")

Central Arkansas @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
307	Central Arkansas	3-10	59.7	69.8	72.4	37.2 %	70	63.3	79
321	@ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	1-13	55	66.3	64.8	62.8 %	-	68.4	81

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 28 2012	(307) Central Arkansas	59.7	69.8	72.4	74
	@ (327) Eastern Illinois	55	67	60.9	72
Jan 03 2013	(307) Central Arkansas	59.7	69.8	72.4	79
	@ (283) Nicholls St.	56.9	65.1	68.5	83
Dec 08 2012	(307) Central Arkansas	59.7	69.8	72.4	88
	@ (267) Southeast Missouri St.	58.6	65.7	67.2	85

Boise St. @ Air Force

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
42	Boise St.	11-3	67.3	56.5	67.2	71 %	66	65.9	72
147	@ Air Force	7-6	62.2	61.5	65.8	29 %	-	61.9	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 20 2012	(42) Boise St.	67.3	56.5	67.2	78
	@ (148) Idaho	64	63.3	64.2	68
Dec 22 2012	(40) San Diego St.	65.3	54.4	68.3	80
	@ (163) San Francisco	61.4	61.5	66.7	58
Dec 02 2012	(32) Wichita St.	65.2	53.6	66.2	72
	@ (147) Air Force	62.2	61.5	65.8	69

Akron @ Kent St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
48	Akron	11-4	65.7	55.9	68.6	55.2 %	69	61.7	74
104	@ Kent St.	10-6	62.4	58.6	68.1	44.8 %	-	61.5	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 13 2012	(62) Temple	63.1	55	67.2	80
	@ (104) Kent St.	62.4	58.6	68.1	66
Nov 18 2012	(86) Valparaiso	62.3	56.8	66.9	88
	@ (104) Kent St.	62.4	58.6	68.1	83
Nov 18 2012	(64) Dayton	64	56	68.6	73
	@ (127) Auburn	60.2	58	68.8	63

Texas A&M @ Alabama

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
69	Texas A&M	12-4	64.8	57.2	61.2	26 %	57	57.8	54
57	@ Alabama	9-6	64	55.5	62.8	74 %	-	64.6	57

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 20 2012	(69) Texas A&M	64.8	57.2	61.2	55
	@ (82) Washington St.	62.2	55.8	64.1	54
Dec 15 2012	(69) Texas A&M	64.8	57.2	61.2	54
	@ (35) Oklahoma	65.1	53.9	66.9	64
Jan 12 2013	(92) Tennessee	62.1	56.7	64.9	65
	@ (57) Alabama	64	55.5	62.8	68

Alcorn St. @ Alabama A&M

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
301	Alcorn St.	5-14	48.4	58.1	67	46.8 %	68	54.4	62
335	@ Alabama A&M	5-9	53.2	68.3	68	53.2 %	-	54.2	58

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 12 2013	(243) Norfolk St.	55.5	60.9	67.7	63
	@ (342) Maryland-Eastern Shore	52.9	69.3	66.8	58
Jan 12 2013	(337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	57
	@ (335) Alabama A&M	53.2	68.3	68	64
Dec 07 2012	(265) Northern Illinois	52.5	59.6	65.6	73
	@ (296) Wisconsin-Milwaukee	53.2	62.2	67.1	80

Southern @ Alabama St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
102	Southern	9-6	62.1	58.2	64.9	93 %	66	65.7	66
337	@ Alabama St.	4-13	51.3	66.4	68.6	7 %	-	52.3	55

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 19 2012	(197) Pepperdine	56.9	59.3	64.5	66
	@ (337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	58
Jan 12 2013	(115) Davidson	63.3	60.4	65.3	81
	@ (325) Furman	54.4	66.2	66.3	73
Dec 13 2012	(102) Southern	62.1	58.2	64.9	68
	@ (284) Louisiana-Monroe	54	62.1	66.6	39

SUNY-Albany @ Hartford

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
189	SUNY-Albany	15-4	59.1	61.1	64.3	42.9 %	62	56.9	56
234	@ Hartford	10-8	55.2	60.2	65	57.1 %	-	59.5	57

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(203) Holy Cross	57.7	60.5	63	45
	@ (234) Hartford	55.2	60.2	65	48
Jan 16 2013	(189) SUNY-Albany	59.1	61.1	64.3	68
	@ (279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	62
Jan 10 2013	(215) Jacksonville St.	57.3	60.8	63.7	75
	@ (261) SIU-Edwardsville	54	60.8	66.5	62

American @ Holy Cross

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
276	American	6-11	57.2	65	60.2	15.5 %	56	55.4	53
203	@ Holy Cross	9-8	57.7	60.5	63	84.5 %	-	66.2	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 24 2012	(276) American	57.2	65	60.2	55
	@ (212) Florida Atlantic	58.2	61.6	66.1	58
Dec 18 2012	(253) Old Dominion	57.6	63.8	65.5	65
	@ (181) College of Charleston	57.8	58.8	64.8	76
Dec 29 2012	(316) Tennessee Tech	56.3	66.9	66.4	62
	@ (215) Jacksonville St.	57.3	60.8	63.7	83

Appalachian St. @ Samford

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
232	Appalachian St.	5-9	59.2	64.1	69.9	50.2 %	65	64.9	70
309	@ Samford	5-12	58.4	68.5	62.7	49.8 %	-	65.9	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 17 2013	(241) Western Carolina	58.5	63.8	66.5	60
	@ (309) Samford	58.4	68.5	62.7	64
Nov 28 2012	(191) Florida Gulf Coast	59.4	61.4	71.1	86
	@ (309) Samford	58.4	68.5	62.7	62
Dec 16 2012	(232) Appalachian St.	59.2	64.1	69.9	81
	@ (317) Missouri-Kansas City	56.2	66.9	65.1	71

Arizona @ Arizona St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
14	Arizona	15-1	68.9	53.1	68.2	65.7 %	68	61	69
73	@ Arizona St.	14-3	61.7	54.7	67.1	34.3 %	-	57.8	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 08 2012	(7) Minnesota	72.2	53	67.3	71
	@ (89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	57
Jan 17 2013	(25) Oregon	65.2	52.5	71.2	76
	@ (89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	74
Nov 21 2012	(33) Marquette	66.9	55.6	66.8	72
	@ (89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	64

Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
184	Texas Southern	5-13	60.8	62.1	65.6	70.1 %	67	57.9	69
304	@ Arkansas-Pine Bluff	5-12	49.6	59.6	69.2	29.9 %	-	54.7	60

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 04 2013	(184) Texas Southern	60.8	62.1	65.6	57
	@ (301) Alcorn St.	48.4	58.1	67	48
Jan 06 2013	(184) Texas Southern	60.8	62.1	65.6	65
	@ (305) Prairie View A&M	51.3	61.3	67.5	60
Dec 23 2012	(200) Central Michigan	62.4	65	67	62
	@ (304) Arkansas-Pine Bluff	49.6	59.6	69.2	45

Arkansas @ Ole Miss

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
53	Arkansas	11-5	65	56.2	72.3	16.9 %	79	56.4	70
22	@ Ole Miss	14-2	66.7	53.7	74	83.1 %	-	66.4	95

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 09 2013	(64) Dayton	64	56	68.6	62
	@ (15) Virginia Commonwealth	67	51.4	70.2	74
Nov 16 2012	(67) Florida St.	65.1	57.4	69.7	88
	@ (30) BYU	64.9	53	71	70
Dec 01 2012	(43) Baylor	65.6	54.8	68.2	64
	@ (18) Kentucky	65.7	52.6	70.8	55

Louisiana-Monroe @ Arkansas St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
284	Louisiana-Monroe	3-11	54	62.1	66.6	6.7 %	66	49	53
139	@ Arkansas St.	9-7	58.6	57.1	67	93.3 %	-	64.1	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 23 2012	(279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	45
	@ (170) Penn St.	58.6	59.1	65.5	72
Dec 04 2012	(264) NJIT	54.2	61.2	69	59
	@ (107) Seton Hall	61.1	57.5	67.4	68
Dec 04 2012	(287) Dartmouth	54.5	62.8	65	49
	@ (173) Elon	59.1	59.7	68.3	71

Kentucky @ Auburn

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
18	Kentucky	11-5	65.7	52.6	70.8	75.3 %	72	61.1	73
127	@ Auburn	8-8	60.2	58	68.8	24.7 %	-	55.8	60

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 28 2012	(29) Belmont	65.8	53.7	69.6	64
	@ (156) Boston U.	58.5	58.1	67.1	48
Jan 06 2013	(25) Oregon	65.2	52.5	71.2	79
	@ (129) Oregon St.	61.7	59.7	70.6	66
Jan 17 2013	(25) Oregon	65.2	52.5	71.2	76
	@ (89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	74

Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
327	Eastern Illinois	3-15	55	67	60.9	23.4 %	64	59.5	61
312	@ Austin Peay	3-14	56.8	67	70.4	76.6 %	-	67.3	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 07 2012	(308) Navy	55	65.1	61.5	65
	@ (298) Mount St. Mary's	56.6	65.6	66.5	72
Nov 23 2012	(311) Delaware St.	56.3	66.5	63.3	62
	@ (328) Fairleigh Dickinson	56.2	68.2	69.5	63
Jan 12 2013	(330) Saint Francis (PA)	52.9	66.5	65	69
	@ (328) Fairleigh Dickinson	56.2	68.2	69.5	79

San Diego @ BYU

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
145	San Diego	9-8	61.2	60.3	64.4	5.4 %	68	51.9	62
30	@ BYU	13-5	64.9	53	71	94.6 %	-	68.8	74

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 15 2012	(145) San Diego	61.2	60.3	64.4	56
	@ (40) San Diego St.	65.3	54.4	68.3	72
Dec 08 2012	(112) Utah	61.1	57.9	62.5	58
	@ (30) BYU	64.9	53	71	61
Nov 09 2012	(180) Tennessee St.	58.9	60	67.5	66
	@ (30) BYU	64.9	53	71	81

Ball St. @ Central Michigan

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
250	Ball St.	6-8	55.4	61.4	65.1	18.1 %	65	57.9	63
200	@ Central Michigan	7-8	62.4	65	67	81.9 %	-	67.3	64

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 09 2013	(217) Bowling Green	55.5	59	64.5	67
	@ (200) Central Michigan	62.4	65	67	73
Dec 22 2012	(238) CSU-Bakersfield	55.8	60.9	67.4	70
	@ (240) North Florida	59.6	64.7	67	80
Dec 22 2012	(287) Dartmouth	54.5	62.8	65	66
	@ (175) Bryant	62.1	62.8	68.4	79

Tennessee St. @ Belmont

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
180	Tennessee St.	10-7	58.9	60	67.5	4 %	70	50.5	56
29	@ Belmont	12-4	65.8	53.7	69.6	96 %	-	69.3	78

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(180) Tennessee St.	58.9	60	67.5	66
	@ (30) BYU	64.9	53	71	81
Dec 22 2012	(202) Marshall	58.4	61.2	69.2	54
	@ (18) Kentucky	65.7	52.6	70.8	82
Dec 08 2012	(180) Tennessee St.	58.9	60	67.5	38
	@ (19) Missouri	67.9	54.8	68.5	68

Bethune-Cookman @ South Carolina St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
270	Bethune-Cookman	4-12	57.9	65.2	65.3	73.7 %	65	64.7	69
344	@ South Carolina St.	2-12	51.8	69.6	66.9	26.3 %	-	60.2	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 12 2012	(323) Kennesaw St.	54.9	66.7	65.9	67
	@ (344) South Carolina St.	51.8	69.6	66.9	65
Jan 05 2013	(241) Western Carolina	58.5	63.8	66.5	72
	@ (345) Citadel	52.9	71.6	66	55
Nov 20 2012	(189) SUNY-Albany	59.1	61.1	64.3	83
	@ (344) South Carolina St.	51.8	69.6	66.9	55

SUNY-Binghamton @ Maine

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
339	SUNY-Binghamton	1-16	49.3	65.1	67.3	8.1 %	71	51.9	61
278	@ Maine	6-10	56.9	64.7	70.6	91.9 %	-	65.4	70

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 28 2012	(339) SUNY-Binghamton	49.3	65.1	67.3	47
	@ (258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	74
Nov 16 2012	(339) SUNY-Binghamton	49.3	65.1	67.3	76
	@ (221) Army	58.1	62.1	70.5	85
Dec 08 2012	(332) Tennessee-Martin	51.8	65.7	70	62
	@ (313) Lipscomb	56.1	66.3	70.9	86

Boston U. @ New Hampshire

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
156	Boston U.	8-10	58.5	58.1	67.1	66.5 %	66	57.3	58
279	@ New Hampshire	3-12	53.3	61.2	66.6	33.5 %	-	54.4	59

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 25 2012	(160) Rider	57.9	57.9	68.9	74
	@ (296) Wisconsin-Milwaukee	53.2	62.2	67.1	60
Nov 29 2012	(165) Western Kentucky	59	59.1	66.6	65
	@ (284) Louisiana-Monroe	54	62.1	66.6	54
Dec 05 2012	(201) Buffalo	57.5	60.3	65.9	72
	@ (296) Wisconsin-Milwaukee	53.2	62.2	67.1	52

Bowling Green @ Buffalo

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
217	Bowling Green	4-10	55.5	59	64.5	27.1 %	63	53.6	57
201	@ Buffalo	3-12	57.5	60.3	65.9	72.9 %	-	59.7	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 12 2012	(217) Bowling Green	55.5	59	64.5	73
	@ (236) Cleveland St.	55.5	60.5	67.7	79
Nov 29 2012	(234) Hartford	55.2	60.2	65	60
	@ (223) Yale	57.5	61.7	66.7	51
Nov 19 2012	(217) Bowling Green	55.5	59	64.5	60
	@ (140) Robert Morris	61.2	59.7	65.8	71

Missouri St. @ Bradley

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
205	Missouri St.	3-13	56.7	59.7	62.2	15.7 %	62	52	44
136	@ Bradley	11-7	59	57.5	67.2	84.3 %	-	62.1	64

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 25 2012	(205) Missouri St.	56.7	59.7	62.2	61
	@ (174) SMU	59.1	59.8	65.2	62
Nov 19 2012	(169) Mercer	56.7	57.1	64.7	71
	@ (130) Wake Forest	59.2	57.2	69	74
Jan 12 2013	(162) Illinois-Chicago	58.8	58.8	63.3	47
	@ (134) Wisconsin-Green Bay	59	57.4	65.4	53

Yale @ Brown

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
223	Yale	4-11	57.5	61.7	66.7	40.9 %	65	54.8	58
257	@ Brown	5-8	53	59.5	65.9	59.1 %	-	57.9	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 08 2012	(223) Yale	57.5	61.7	66.7	56
	@ (279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	64
Nov 24 2012	(213) St. Francis-Brooklyn	59.4	62.8	68.2	76
	@ (257) Brown	53	59.5	65.9	72
Nov 29 2012	(286) Sacred Heart	56.8	65.1	68.7	56
	@ (257) Brown	53	59.5	65.9	69

Wagner @ Bryant

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
211	Wagner	9-7	52.7	56	67.1	20.2 %	68	53.2	57
175	@ Bryant	12-4	62.1	62.8	68.4	79.8 %	-	61.3	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 17 2012	(279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	64
	@ (175) Bryant	62.1	62.8	68.4	76
Dec 29 2012	(305) Prairie View A&M	51.3	61.3	67.5	75
	@ (183) Houston	61.8	63.1	70.6	80
Nov 12 2012	(268) Pennsylvania	53.1	60.3	68.9	69
	@ (158) Delaware	61.3	61	69.2	84

Lafayette @ Bucknell

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
248	Lafayette	7-11	57.9	63.9	67	2.6 %	63	51.5	58
47	@ Bucknell	14-3	65.8	55.8	63.7	97.4 %	-	73.5	77

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 19 2012	(281) Marist	55.6	63.7	68.8	65
	@ (47) Bucknell	65.8	55.8	63.7	71
Nov 15 2012	(241) Western Carolina	58.5	63.8	66.5	63
	@ (32) Wichita St.	65.2	53.6	66.2	79
Nov 27 2012	(287) Dartmouth	54.5	62.8	65	49
	@ (47) Bucknell	65.8	55.8	63.7	62

Gonzaga @ Butler

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
11	Gonzaga	16-1	73.2	56.7	66.7	42.4 %	64	65.5	66
26	@ Butler	14-2	67.6	55.1	64.6	57.6 %	-	67.8	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 05 2012	(11) Gonzaga	73.2	56.7	66.7	71
	@ (82) Washington St.	62.2	55.8	64.1	69
Nov 23 2012	(8) Creighton	73.6	55.3	66.6	84
	@ (9) Wisconsin	67.4	50.6	62.9	74
Nov 24 2012	(8) Creighton	73.6	55.3	66.6	87
	@ (73) Arizona St.	61.7	54.7	67.1	73

Nebraska-Omaha @ CSU-Bakersfield

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
334	Nebraska-Omaha	4-14	56.6	71.6	71.9	8.1 %	72	55.2	65
238	@ CSU-Bakersfield	4-13	55.8	60.9	67.4	91.9 %	-	71.2	82

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(334) Nebraska-Omaha	56.6	71.6	71.9	78
	@ (263) IP-Fort Wayne	55.1	62.2	68.2	96
Nov 14 2012	(334) Nebraska-Omaha	56.6	71.6	71.9	63
	@ (230) Texas Tech	57.8	62.6	69.6	91
Nov 24 2012	(334) Nebraska-Omaha	56.6	71.6	71.9	68
	@ (302) Chicago St.	52.5	62.3	68.8	66

Cal Poly-SLO @ California-Santa Barbara

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
185	Cal Poly-SLO	5-8	63.1	64.7	62	37.8 %	59	64.6	63
219	@ California-Santa Barbara	4-10	60.7	64.3	64.1	62.2 %	-	69	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(185) Cal Poly-SLO	63.1	64.7	62	67
	@ (199) California-Davis	59.5	62	68.8	69
Jan 05 2013	(244) Portland St.	59.2	64.6	64.8	55
	@ (187) Montana	61.6	63.2	65.1	62
Dec 15 2012	(120) South Dakota St.	64.6	62	64.9	68
	@ (187) Montana	61.6	63.2	65.1	67

CSU-Long Beach @ CSU-Fullerton

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
186	CSU-Long Beach	7-8	62.2	63.9	69	27.5 %	74	65.9	69
179	@ CSU-Fullerton	8-7	65.5	66.5	72.3	72.5 %	-	73.2	91

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 29 2012	(219) California-Santa Barbara	60.7	64.3	64.1	79
	@ (179) CSU-Fullerton	65.5	66.5	72.3	86
Jan 13 2013	(161) Canisius	63.8	63.8	67.4	87
	@ (106) Iona	67.7	64.1	73.9	97
Nov 15 2012	(210) Virginia Military Institute	62.3	65.5	72.2	80
	@ (143) Virginia Tech	63.4	62.5	72.1	95

Pacific @ CSU-Northridge

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
105	Pacific	7-8	61.4	57.8	65.3	57.6 %	71	61.8	69
206	@ CSU-Northridge	7-9	60	63	73	42.4 %	-	61.1	74

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(105) Pacific	61.4	57.8	65.3	74
	@ (199) California-Davis	59.5	62	68.8	64
Dec 29 2012	(105) Pacific	61.4	57.8	65.3	63
	@ (186) CSU-Long Beach	62.2	63.9	69	67
Dec 11 2012	(93) West Virginia	61.7	56.3	65.7	56
	@ (226) Duquesne	59.1	63.5	70.4	60

California @ Stanford

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
72	California	10-6	62.6	55.4	68.2	24.3 %	70	54.4	63
56	@ Stanford	10-7	62.7	54.1	68.7	75.7 %	-	61.4	70

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	60
	@ (59) Colorado	63.1	54.6	69.7	66
Nov 15 2012	(64) Dayton	64	56	68.6	57
	@ (59) Colorado	63.1	54.6	69.7	67
Jan 05 2013	(72) California	62.6	55.4	68.2	72
	@ (89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	64

Winthrop @ Campbell

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
282	Winthrop	4-9	56	64.2	61.4	21.8 %	62	56.4	67
246	@ Campbell	6-9	57.1	62.8	68.1	78.2 %	-	64.6	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 16 2013	(253) Old Dominion	57.6	63.8	65.5	60
	@ (255) North Carolina-Wilmington	56.4	62.7	67.2	65
Nov 12 2012	(276) American	57.2	65	60.2	61
	@ (260) Quinnipiac	56.4	63	70.2	55
Jan 12 2013	(276) American	57.2	65	60.2	72
	@ (258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	63

Siena @ Canisius

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
295	Siena	4-14	53.5	62.4	63.9	7.7 %	64	55	58
161	@ Canisius	11-7	63.8	63.8	67.4	92.3 %	-	69.9	78

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 04 2012	(295) Siena	53.5	62.4	63.9	43
	@ (131) St. Bonaventure	63.8	61.9	66.7	58
Jan 17 2013	(237) Manhattan	53.6	58.6	64.4	60
	@ (161) Canisius	63.8	63.8	67.4	64
Dec 22 2012	(287) Dartmouth	54.5	62.8	65	66
	@ (175) Bryant	62.1	62.8	68.4	79

Mount St. Mary's @ Central Connecticut St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
298	Mount St. Mary's	6-10	56.6	65.6	66.5	16.1 %	73	57.4	73
225	@ Central Connecticut St.	7-9	58.9	63.3	73.8	83.9 %	-	68	84

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(286) Sacred Heart	56.8	65.1	68.7	78
	@ (225) Central Connecticut St.	58.9	63.3	73.8	84
Jan 10 2013	(298) Mount St. Mary's	56.6	65.6	66.5	56
	@ (213) St. Francis-Brooklyn	59.4	62.8	68.2	70
Jan 17 2013	(283) Nicholls St.	56.9	65.1	68.5	93
	@ (195) Northwestern St.	59.6	61.9	74.9	78

High Point @ Charleston Southern

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
227	High Point	6-8	57.1	61.6	68.8	14.8 %	69	55	67
155	@ Charleston Southern	6-6	60.7	60.2	67.8	85.2 %	-	65.8	77

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 04 2012	(249) Radford	55.2	61.2	69.6	59
	@ (158) Delaware	61.3	61	69.2	68
Jan 16 2013	(198) Towson	56.9	59.4	68.9	69
	@ (158) Delaware	61.3	61	69.2	66
Dec 29 2012	(245) North Texas	56.8	62.5	67.9	64
	@ (165) Western Kentucky	59	59.1	66.6	70

North Carolina-Charlotte @ Richmond

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
98	North Carolina-Charlotte	15-2	58.2	53.3	68.9	38.9 %	67	55.3	61
113	@ Richmond	11-7	62.5	59.5	65.7	61.1 %	-	59	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 05 2012	(98) North Carolina-Charlotte	58.2	53.3	68.9	73
	@ (115) Davidson	63.3	60.4	65.3	69
Nov 16 2012	(103) St. John's (NY)	58.4	54.6	68.6	67
	@ (119) Murray St.	62.8	60.2	67.4	72
Dec 04 2012	(103) St. John's (NY)	58.4	54.6	68.6	65
	@ (163) San Francisco	61.4	61.5	66.7	81

Western Carolina @ Tennessee-Chattanooga

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
241	Western Carolina	5-11	58.5	63.8	66.5	44.8 %	68	59.8	69
293	@ Tennessee-Chattanooga	6-10	55.1	63.9	69.2	55.2 %	-	62.2	68

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(239) Miami (OH)	58.5	63.6	67.2	56
	@ (263) IP-Fort Wayne	55.1	62.2	68.2	57
Nov 18 2012	(267) Southeast Missouri St.	58.6	65.7	67.2	77
	@ (293) Tennessee-Chattanooga	55.1	63.9	69.2	65
Dec 29 2012	(272) Utah Valley	58.8	66.2	66.7	69
	@ (293) Tennessee-Chattanooga	55.1	63.9	69.2	76

Houston Baptist @ Chicago St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
341	Houston Baptist	2-13	48.6	64.7	71	11.2 %	72	48.9	59
302	@ Chicago St.	2-14	52.5	62.3	68.8	88.8 %	-	60.4	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 08 2012	(337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	54
	@ (302) Chicago St.	52.5	62.3	68.8	67
Jan 14 2013	(329) Jackson St.	51.5	64.3	73.4	59
	@ (305) Prairie View A&M	51.3	61.3	67.5	73
Nov 09 2012	(341) Houston Baptist	48.6	64.7	71	72
	@ (304) Arkansas-Pine Bluff	49.6	59.6	69.2	68

Marquette @ Cincinnati

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
33	Marquette	13-3	66.9	55.6	66.8	22.6 %	68	55.8	63
24	@ Cincinnati	15-3	64	51.2	68.3	77.4 %	-	62.8	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 15 2012	(48) Akron	65.7	55.9	68.6	65
	@ (28) Oklahoma St.	63.2	51.1	68.1	69
Jan 10 2013	(20) Michigan St.	66.3	53.2	66.5	62
	@ (37) Iowa	63.1	52.1	70.2	59
Nov 20 2012	(42) Boise St.	67.3	56.5	67.2	70
	@ (20) Michigan St.	66.3	53.2	66.5	74

Citadel @ Georgia Southern

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
345	Citadel	1-13	52.9	71.6	66	5.2 %	61	52.3	51
256	@ Georgia Southern	6-10	55.1	61.5	62.2	94.8 %	-	70.4	68

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 15 2012	(345) Citadel	52.9	71.6	66	58
	@ (188) Gardner-Webb	55.4	57.1	66.8	71
Nov 15 2012	(335) Alabama A&M	53.2	68.3	68	61
	@ (215) Jacksonville St.	57.3	60.8	63.7	79
Dec 12 2012	(344) South Carolina St.	51.8	69.6	66.9	61
	@ (189) SUNY-Albany	59.1	61.1	64.3	70

Cleveland St. @ Wisconsin-Green Bay

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
236	Cleveland St.	7-9	55.5	60.5	67.7	11.3 %	66	50.7	63
134	@ Wisconsin-Green Bay	8-9	59	57.4	65.4	88.7 %	-	62.8	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(243) Norfolk St.	55.5	60.9	67.7	67
	@ (144) Rhode Island	58	57.1	64.4	55
Jan 09 2013	(236) Cleveland St.	55.5	60.5	67.7	53
	@ (122) Wright St.	58.1	55.7	63.6	69
Nov 12 2012	(243) Norfolk St.	55.5	60.9	67.7	65
	@ (107) Seton Hall	61.1	57.5	67.4	78

Virginia Military Institute @ Coastal Carolina

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
210	Virginia Military Institute	6-7	62.3	65.5	72.2	37.5 %	71	62.3	67
235	@ Coastal Carolina	4-8	57.7	62.7	65.8	62.5 %	-	66.8	74

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 21 2012	(210) Virginia Military Institute	62.3	65.5	72.2	76
	@ (253) Old Dominion	57.6	63.8	65.5	71
Dec 18 2012	(251) Stetson	60.5	66.5	68.8	69
	@ (212) Florida Atlantic	58.2	61.6	66.1	68
Nov 16 2012	(232) Appalachian St.	59.2	64.1	69.9	82
	@ (246) Campbell	57.1	62.8	68.1	101

College of Charleston @ Davidson

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
181	College of Charleston	12-5	57.8	58.8	64.8	17.7 %	63	55.8	61
115	@ Davidson	9-7	63.3	60.4	65.3	82.3 %	-	65.6	66

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 28 2012	(181) College of Charleston	57.8	58.8	64.8	72
	@ (155) Charleston Southern	60.7	60.2	67.8	67
Dec 29 2012	(203) Holy Cross	57.7	60.5	63	60
	@ (100) Boston College	64.5	60.3	65.5	70
Jan 09 2013	(144) Rhode Island	58	57.1	64.4	61
	@ (113) Richmond	62.5	59.5	65.7	64

Colgate @ Lehigh

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
258	Colgate	6-12	57.2	63.7	68	3.6 %	70	53.5	61
70	@ Lehigh	11-4	66.1	58.5	69.1	96.4 %	-	73.6	89

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	55
	@ (63) Illinois	65	57	68.4	75
Dec 04 2012	(224) Fordham	59.8	64.1	69.4	63
	@ (70) Lehigh	66.1	58.5	69.1	81
Dec 18 2012	(258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	45
	@ (71) Providence	64.3	57.1	66.7	79

Colorado @ Washington St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
59	Colorado	11-6	63.1	54.6	69.7	38.4 %	67	56.5	61
82	@ Washington St.	10-7	62.2	55.8	64.1	61.6 %	-	60	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 06 2013	(59) Colorado	63.1	54.6	69.7	56
	@ (73) Arizona St.	61.7	54.7	67.1	65
Jan 03 2013	(56) Stanford	62.7	54.1	68.7	69
	@ (89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	71
Jan 10 2013	(62) Temple	63.1	55	67.2	52
	@ (84) Xavier	63	56.7	62.7	57

UNLV @ Colorado St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
36	UNLV	14-3	64.8	53.7	71.6	19.3 %	70	56.5	68
16	@ Colorado St.	12-3	68.9	54.1	65.4	80.7 %	-	66.1	73

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 16 2013	(36) UNLV	64.8	53.7	71.6	82
	@ (40) San Diego St.	65.3	54.4	68.3	75
Dec 21 2012	(30) BYU	64.9	53	71	64
	@ (43) Baylor	65.6	54.8	68.2	79
Nov 21 2012	(37) Iowa	63.1	52.1	70.2	63
	@ (32) Wichita St.	65.2	53.6	66.2	75

Columbia @ Cornell

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
146	Columbia	6-6	60.4	59.5	63.9	63.6 %	67	60	61
262	@ Cornell	7-9	55.3	62.2	70.5	36.4 %	-	57.9	61

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 28 2012	(135) Loyola Maryland	60.3	58.7	64.3	67
	@ (285) Coppin St.	54	62.2	69.9	51
Dec 18 2012	(140) Robert Morris	61.2	59.7	65.8	66
	@ (242) Louisiana-Lafayette	56.3	61.6	72.4	61
Jan 05 2013	(146) Columbia	60.4	59.5	63.9	64
	@ (221) Army	58.1	62.1	70.5	52

Connecticut @ Pittsburgh

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
45	Connecticut	12-4	65.1	54.5	67.3	12.8 %	61	55.1	50
10	@ Pittsburgh	14-4	69	52.3	60.6	87.2 %	-	67.1	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 12 2013	(33) Marquette	66.9	55.6	66.8	74
	@ (10) Pittsburgh	69	52.3	60.6	67
Dec 31 2012	(24) Cincinnati	64	51.2	68.3	70
	@ (10) Pittsburgh	69	52.3	60.6	61
Nov 13 2012	(70) Lehigh	66.1	58.5	69.1	53
	@ (10) Pittsburgh	69	52.3	60.6	78

Coppin St. @ Norfolk St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
285	Coppin St.	3-14	54	62.2	69.9	20.3 %	70	52.6	58
243	@ Norfolk St.	9-10	55.5	60.9	67.7	79.7 %	-	60.9	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 09 2012	(303) Maryland-Baltimore County	53.2	63.2	69.8	66
	@ (243) Norfolk St.	55.5	60.9	67.7	83
Dec 19 2012	(285) Coppin St.	54	62.2	69.9	64
	@ (198) Towson	56.9	59.4	68.9	61
Dec 01 2012	(302) Chicago St.	52.5	62.3	68.8	57
	@ (261) SIU-Edwardsville	54	60.8	66.5	71

Creighton @ Wichita St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
8	Creighton	17-1	73.6	55.3	66.6	53.2 %	65	64.5	64
32	@ Wichita St.	16-2	65.2	53.6	66.2	46.8 %	-	63.8	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 15 2012	(8) Creighton	73.6	55.3	66.6	74
	@ (72) California	62.6	55.4	68.2	64
Nov 24 2012	(8) Creighton	73.6	55.3	66.6	87
	@ (73) Arizona St.	61.7	54.7	67.1	73
Dec 31 2012	(11) Gonzaga	73.2	56.7	66.7	69
	@ (28) Oklahoma St.	63.2	51.1	68.1	68

St. John's (NY) @ DePaul

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
103	St. John's (NY)	10-7	58.4	54.6	68.6	32.1 %	76	54.2	70
108	@ DePaul	10-7	61.5	58	74.6	67.9 %	-	59.2	75

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 27 2012	(123) Fairfield	58.2	55.8	63.2	78
	@ (108) DePaul	61.5	58	74.6	85
Jan 02 2013	(103) St. John's (NY)	58.4	54.6	68.6	86
	@ (90) Villanova	61.5	56	69.7	98
Nov 16 2012	(78) Purdue	60.7	54	67.8	58
	@ (129) Oregon St.	61.7	59.7	70.6	66

Northeastern @ Delaware

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
153	Northeastern	10-7	63.5	63	63.6	31 %	65	61.9	66
158	@ Delaware	8-9	61.3	61	69.2	69 %	-	67.8	73

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 30 2012	(187) Montana	61.6	63.2	65.1	68
	@ (163) San Francisco	61.4	61.5	66.7	78
Jan 17 2013	(124) Utah St.	63.9	61.6	62.8	51
	@ (125) New Mexico St.	61	58.8	66.5	64
Jan 09 2013	(114) Eastern Kentucky	63.6	60.6	65.3	77
	@ (119) Murray St.	62.8	60.2	67.4	65

Delaware St. @ Maryland-Eastern Shore

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
311	Delaware St.	4-9	56.3	66.5	63.3	56.3 %	63	62.9	69
342	@ Maryland-Eastern Shore	0-13	52.9	69.3	66.8	43.7 %	-	62.7	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 12 2012	(323) Kennesaw St.	54.9	66.7	65.9	67
	@ (344) South Carolina St.	51.8	69.6	66.9	65
Nov 23 2012	(311) Delaware St.	56.3	66.5	63.3	62
	@ (328) Fairleigh Dickinson	56.2	68.2	69.5	63
Dec 13 2012	(318) Troy	56.1	67	63.8	68
	@ (337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	74

Utah St. @ Denver

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
124	Utah St.	13-2	63.9	61.6	62.8	7 %	55	54.2	53
31	@ Denver	10-7	64.2	52.5	59.3	93 %	-	69.4	59

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(120) South Dakota St.	64.6	62	64.9	67
	@ (57) Alabama	64	55.5	62.8	70
Dec 29 2012	(120) South Dakota St.	64.6	62	64.9	62
	@ (38) North Dakota St.	65.8	54.8	61	65
Nov 24 2012	(182) Southern Illinois	63.5	64.6	64.9	51
	@ (49) Saint Louis	62.4	52.8	63.3	61

Illinois-Chicago @ Detroit

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
162	Illinois-Chicago	10-7	58.8	58.8	63.3	14.4 %	67	57.6	66
87	@ Detroit	9-7	66.8	61.3	70.7	85.6 %	-	69.3	68

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(134) Wisconsin-Green Bay	59	57.4	65.4	76
	@ (87) Detroit	66.8	61.3	70.7	84
Nov 19 2012	(162) Illinois-Chicago	58.8	58.8	63.3	86
	@ (106) Iona	67.7	64.1	73.9	81
Nov 18 2012	(125) New Mexico St.	61	58.8	66.5	83
	@ (117) Niagara	64.3	61.5	71.5	86

Drexel @ William & Mary

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
168	Drexel	5-11	59.5	59.9	64.3	52.2 %	64	62.7	64
247	@ William & Mary	6-9	60	65.9	67.2	47.8 %	-	63.2	70

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 22 2012	(167) North Carolina Central	60	60.3	64.7	73
	@ (272) Utah Valley	58.8	66.2	66.7	67
Jan 02 2013	(168) Drexel	59.5	59.9	64.3	77
	@ (222) Georgia St.	59.5	63.7	64	60
Jan 14 2013	(167) North Carolina Central	60	60.3	64.7	75
	@ (270) Bethune-Cookman	57.9	65.2	65.3	66

Virginia Commonwealth @ Duquesne

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
15	Virginia Commonwealth	15-3	67	51.4	70.2	94 %	73	67.6	88
226	@ Duquesne	7-10	59.1	63.5	70.4	6 %	-	53.3	62

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(14) Arizona	68.9	53.1	68.2	85
	@ (230) Texas Tech	57.8	62.6	69.6	57
Dec 15 2012	(24) Cincinnati	64	51.2	68.3	72
	@ (202) Marshall	58.4	61.2	69.2	56
Jan 12 2013	(6) Kansas	69.1	49.3	68.6	60
	@ (230) Texas Tech	57.8	62.6	69.6	46

East Carolina @ Marshall

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
164	East Carolina	7-5	61.9	62	70.5	41 %	72	60.6	75
202	@ Marshall	7-9	58.4	61.2	69.2	59 %	-	63.8	74

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 25 2012	(194) South Carolina	61.2	63.4	68.8	74
	@ (208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	62
Nov 30 2012	(150) Drake	62.5	61.9	70.5	76
	@ (154) Nevada-Reno	59.3	58.8	68.1	66
Nov 11 2012	(193) Oakland	60.6	62.8	69.4	79
	@ (242) Louisiana-Lafayette	56.3	61.6	72.4	90

East Tennessee St. @ Kennesaw St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
315	East Tennessee St.	3-14	54	64.6	64.4	33.2 %	63	58.2	57
323	@ Kennesaw St.	2-16	54.9	66.7	65.9	66.8 %	-	62.9	61

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 21 2012	(256) Georgia Southern	55.1	61.5	62.2	62
	@ (323) Kennesaw St.	54.9	66.7	65.9	46
Jan 10 2013	(321) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	55	66.3	64.8	71
	@ (320) McNeese St.	56.3	67.5	65.3	75
Nov 28 2012	(241) Western Carolina	58.5	63.8	66.5	79
	@ (325) Furman	54.4	66.2	66.3	65

Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
114	Eastern Kentucky	13-4	63.6	60.6	65.3	57.1 %	62	61.8	62
215	@ Jacksonville St.	10-6	57.3	60.8	63.7	42.9 %	-	61.2	61

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 04 2012	(114) Eastern Kentucky	63.6	60.6	65.3	63
	@ (167) North Carolina Central	60	60.3	64.7	57
Jan 14 2013	(115) Davidson	63.3	60.4	65.3	57
	@ (256) Georgia Southern	55.1	61.5	62.2	70
Nov 18 2012	(100) Boston College	64.5	60.3	65.5	67
	@ (181) College of Charleston	57.8	58.8	64.8	71

Miami (OH) @ Eastern Michigan

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
239	Miami (OH)	6-8	58.5	63.6	67.2	42.5 %	64	53.9	57
271	@ Eastern Michigan	5-9	50.3	57.7	63.9	57.5 %	-	57	61

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 22 2012	(193) Oakland	60.6	62.8	69.4	59
	@ (271) Eastern Michigan	50.3	57.7	63.9	57
Nov 17 2012	(263) IP-Fort Wayne	55.1	62.2	68.2	47
	@ (271) Eastern Michigan	50.3	57.7	63.9	60
Jan 08 2013	(232) Appalachian St.	59.2	64.1	69.9	50
	@ (228) Wofford	53.5	58.1	64.3	49

Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
310	Eastern Washington	4-13	54.6	64.7	68.9	24.3 %	69	57.6	62
294	@ Northern Colorado	2-11	56.7	65.5	67.8	75.7 %	-	64.9	76

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(310) Eastern Washington	54.6	64.7	68.9	68
	@ (290) Montana St.	57.9	66.5	69.3	70
Jan 17 2013	(310) Eastern Washington	54.6	64.7	68.9	47
	@ (269) North Dakota	56.1	63.3	67.9	65
Dec 29 2012	(303) Maryland-Baltimore County	53.2	63.2	69.8	55
	@ (298) Mount St. Mary's	56.6	65.6	66.5	58

Wofford @ Elon

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
228	Wofford	6-11	53.5	58.1	64.3	16.7 %	65	51.1	57
173	@ Elon	8-7	59.1	59.7	68.3	83.3 %	-	60.4	59

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 23 2012	(220) Portland	53.8	57.7	65	57
	@ (136) Bradley	59	57.5	67.2	55
Nov 20 2012	(228) Wofford	53.5	58.1	64.3	58
	@ (113) Richmond	62.5	59.5	65.7	64
Dec 01 2012	(181) College of Charleston	57.8	58.8	64.8	56
	@ (173) Elon	59.1	59.7	68.3	54

Evansville @ Indiana St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
109	Evansville	10-7	62.5	59.1	67.3	21.2 %	68	56.6	64
85	@ Indiana St.	10-6	62.4	56.5	68.1	78.8 %	-	64.9	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 24 2012	(113) Richmond	62.5	59.5	65.7	48
	@ (76) Ohio	63.7	56.9	69.4	73
Jan 12 2013	(113) Richmond	62.5	59.5	65.7	59
	@ (66) La Salle	63.7	56	69.1	71
Dec 22 2012	(119) Murray St.	62.8	60.2	67.4	68
	@ (64) Dayton	64	56	68.6	77

Northern Kentucky @ Florida Gulf Coast

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
266	Northern Kentucky	4-10	53.6	60.8	60.1	13.9 %	64	52.8	48
191	@ Florida Gulf Coast	10-8	59.4	61.4	71.1	86.1 %	-	63.5	64

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 04 2012	(266) Northern Kentucky	53.6	60.8	60.1	69
	@ (230) Texas Tech	57.8	62.6	69.6	75
Nov 14 2012	(266) Northern Kentucky	53.6	60.8	60.1	61
	@ (145) San Diego	61.2	60.3	64.4	65
Jan 02 2013	(266) Northern Kentucky	53.6	60.8	60.1	65
	@ (240) North Florida	59.6	64.7	67	52

Troy @ Florida International

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
318	Troy	7-11	56.1	67	63.8	8.8 %	67	54.4	65
192	@ Florida International	9-8	58.4	60.6	70.7	91.2 %	-	69	78

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 29 2012	(318) Troy	56.1	67	63.8	56
	@ (208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	58
Jan 02 2013	(311) Delaware St.	56.3	66.5	63.3	53
	@ (202) Marshall	58.4	61.2	69.2	51
Dec 16 2012	(321) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	55	66.3	64.8	69
	@ (196) South Alabama-Mobile	58	60.3	70	74

Fairleigh Dickinson @ St. Francis-Brooklyn

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
328	Fairleigh Dickinson	7-11	56.2	68.2	69.5	8.9 %	70	56.5	74
213	@ St. Francis-Brooklyn	7-9	59.4	62.8	68.2	91.1 %	-	71.3	85

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(298) Mount St. Mary's	56.6	65.6	66.5	56
	@ (213) St. Francis-Brooklyn	59.4	62.8	68.2	70
Dec 31 2012	(313) Lipscomb	56.1	66.3	70.9	70
	@ (240) North Florida	59.6	64.7	67	84
Dec 22 2012	(283) Nicholls St.	56.9	65.1	68.5	71
	@ (199) California-Davis	59.5	62	68.8	82

North Texas @ Florida Atlantic

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
245	North Texas	6-11	56.8	62.5	67.9	21.9 %	67	56	60
212	@ Florida Atlantic	9-9	58.2	61.6	66.1	78.1 %	-	64.1	57

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(245) North Texas	56.8	62.5	67.9	53
	@ (208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	67
Jan 01 2013	(289) Hofstra	54.8	63.2	67	57
	@ (212) Florida Atlantic	58.2	61.6	66.1	61
Dec 29 2012	(255) North Carolina-Wilmington	56.4	62.7	67.2	60
	@ (246) Campbell	57.1	62.8	68.1	72

Missouri @ Florida

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
19	Missouri	13-3	67.9	54.8	68.5	5.8 %	64	54.9	58
1	@ Florida	13-2	73.2	49.3	63	94.2 %	-	71.8	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 29 2012	(33) Marquette	66.9	55.6	66.8	49
	@ (1) Florida	73.2	49.3	63	82
Nov 18 2012	(51) Middle Tennessee St.	61.8	52.8	65.6	45
	@ (1) Florida	73.2	49.3	63	66
Nov 23 2012	(101) Central Florida	63.2	59.3	66.5	66
	@ (1) Florida	73.2	49.3	63	79

Florida A&M @ Savannah St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
338	Florida A&M	2-13	50.3	65.9	73.9	4.7 %	71	41.9	48
214	@ Savannah St.	6-9	49.9	53.3	64.7	95.3 %	-	58.9	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 03 2013	(336) New Orleans	50	65.1	72.2	46
	@ (204) Mississippi St.	52.9	55.8	68.3	97
Nov 21 2012	(329) Jackson St.	51.5	64.3	73.4	66
	@ (177) Tulsa	54.4	55.1	67.7	86
Jan 12 2013	(343) Mississippi Valley St.	51.6	68.2	70.3	67
	@ (301) Alcorn St.	48.4	58.1	67	72

Florida St. @ Virginia

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
67	Florida St.	10-6	65.1	57.4	69.7	25.8 %	63	55.3	56
61	@ Virginia	11-5	60.8	52.6	60.6	74.2 %	-	61.4	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 06 2013	(58) North Carolina	65.3	56.8	72.9	52
	@ (61) Virginia	60.8	52.6	60.6	61
Jan 09 2013	(67) Florida St.	65.1	57.4	69.7	65
	@ (55) Maryland	61.6	52.8	66.8	62
Jan 05 2013	(67) Florida St.	65.1	57.4	69.7	71
	@ (74) Clemson	59.7	52.9	62.2	66

Nevada-Reno @ Fresno St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
154	Nevada-Reno	8-7	59.3	58.8	68.1	24.4 %	64	51.6	59
132	@ Fresno St.	5-9	56.3	54.5	62.7	75.6 %	-	58.3	64

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 15 2012	(118) California-Irvine	60.4	57.7	66.5	58
	@ (132) Fresno St.	56.3	54.5	62.7	51
Nov 16 2012	(105) Pacific	61.4	57.8	65.3	61
	@ (132) Fresno St.	56.3	54.5	62.7	66
Nov 24 2012	(104) Kent St.	62.4	58.6	68.1	74
	@ (151) Nebraska	56.4	55.8	62.9	60

Radford @ Gardner-Webb

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
249	Radford	5-10	55.2	61.2	69.6	16.4 %	69	50.2	54
188	@ Gardner-Webb	7-8	55.4	57.1	66.8	83.6 %	-	59.8	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 16 2012	(249) Radford	55.2	61.2	69.6	67
	@ (198) Towson	56.9	59.4	68.9	75
Jan 02 2013	(249) Radford	55.2	61.2	69.6	77
	@ (216) North Carolina A&T	56.5	60	68.9	81
Nov 29 2012	(227) High Point	57.1	61.6	68.8	53
	@ (152) Western Michigan	57.6	57	65.8	54

Hofstra @ George Mason

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
289	Hofstra	4-12	54.8	63.2	67	5.9 %	68	49.7	52
126	@ George Mason	10-7	59.3	57	68.1	94.1 %	-	65.9	76

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 04 2012	(303) Maryland-Baltimore County	53.2	63.2	69.8	63
	@ (126) George Mason	59.3	57	68.1	74
Nov 09 2012	(263) IP-Fort Wayne	55.1	62.2	68.2	50
	@ (127) Auburn	60.2	58	68.8	61
Jan 10 2013	(253) Old Dominion	57.6	63.8	65.5	46
	@ (126) George Mason	59.3	57	68.1	71

George Washington @ Massachusetts

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
121	George Washington	7-9	56.3	53.8	67.5	32.1 %	73	52.7	62
128	@ Massachusetts	12-4	60.8	58.6	73.1	67.9 %	-	57.6	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 15 2012	(188) Gardner-Webb	55.4	57.1	66.8	71
	@ (108) DePaul	61.5	58	74.6	59
Jan 02 2013	(103) St. John's (NY)	58.4	54.6	68.6	86
	@ (90) Villanova	61.5	56	69.7	98
Nov 16 2012	(78) Purdue	60.7	54	67.8	58
	@ (129) Oregon St.	61.7	59.7	70.6	66

Georgetown @ South Florida

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
52	Georgetown	12-3	59.9	51	64.6	56.1 %	60	54.3	58
110	@ South Florida	9-7	60	56.7	62.9	43.9 %	-	54	54

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 18 2013	(79) SUNY-Stony Brook	61.2	54.5	65.7	73
	@ (116) Vermont	59	56.2	63.9	81
Dec 29 2012	(126) George Mason	59.3	57	68.1	57
	@ (110) South Florida	60	56.7	62.9	61
Nov 27 2012	(55) Maryland	61.6	52.8	66.8	77
	@ (77) Northwestern	63	56.3	63.8	57

LSU @ Georgia

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
137	LSU	9-5	58.4	56.9	72.8	36.3 %	69	54.3	64
159	@ Georgia	6-10	58.2	58.2	63.9	63.7 %	-	58.1	66

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 09 2013	(137) LSU	58.4	56.9	72.8	63
	@ (127) Auburn	60.2	58	68.8	68
Nov 28 2012	(126) George Mason	59.3	57	68.1	55
	@ (144) Rhode Island	58	57.1	64.4	52
Dec 18 2012	(137) LSU	58.4	56.9	72.8	66
	@ (118) California-Irvine	60.4	57.7	66.5	60

Georgia St. @ Old Dominion

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
222	Georgia St.	6-11	59.5	63.7	64	38.2 %	62	60.7	64
253	@ Old Dominion	2-15	57.6	63.8	65.5	61.8 %	-	64.7	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 21 2012	(187) Montana	61.6	63.2	65.1	61
	@ (259) CSU-Sacramento	57	63.5	64.7	60
Jan 07 2013	(222) Georgia St.	59.5	63.7	64	50
	@ (289) Hofstra	54.8	63.2	67	52
Dec 08 2012	(189) SUNY-Albany	59.1	61.1	64.3	67
	@ (258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	61

Jackson St. @ Grambling

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
329	Jackson St.	1-14	51.5	64.3	73.4	94.1 %	73	64.7	74
347	@ Grambling	0-15	43.3	76	66.5	5.9 %	-	50.3	59

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 02 2013	(329) Jackson St.	51.5	64.3	73.4	66
	@ (337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	70
Jan 04 2013	(329) Jackson St.	51.5	64.3	73.4	87
	@ (335) Alabama A&M	53.2	68.3	68	88
Jan 10 2013	(293) Tennessee-Chattanooga	55.1	63.9	69.2	70
	@ (345) Citadel	52.9	71.6	66	65

Morgan St. @ Hampton

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
252	Morgan St.	4-9	56.1	62.3	72.3	40.4 %	77	49.6	63
274	@ Hampton	5-10	47.9	55.6	71.6	59.6 %	-	53.1	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 14 2013	(260) Quinnipiac	56.4	63	70.2	64
	@ (274) Hampton	47.9	55.6	71.6	70
Jan 07 2013	(178) James Madison	58.9	59.7	66.1	65
	@ (274) Hampton	47.9	55.6	71.6	69
Dec 08 2012	(140) Robert Morris	61.2	59.7	65.8	66
	@ (274) Hampton	47.9	55.6	71.6	54

Harvard @ Memphis

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
88	Harvard	8-5	65.6	60.1	66.3	13.2 %	68	56.4	61
41	@ Memphis	13-3	64	53.2	68.8	86.8 %	-	67.6	82

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 07 2012	(88) Harvard	65.6	60.1	66.3	49
	@ (45) Connecticut	65.1	54.5	67.3	57
Dec 29 2012	(88) Harvard	65.6	60.1	66.3	67
	@ (72) California	62.6	55.4	68.2	62
Dec 28 2012	(142) Oral Roberts	62.4	61.4	66.3	57
	@ (41) Memphis	64	53.2	68.8	72

California-Davis @ Hawaii

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
199	California-Davis	6-10	59.5	62	68.8	22.2 %	72	56	73
166	@ Hawaii	9-7	58.7	58.9	70.2	77.8 %	-	64	73

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 28 2012	(199) California-Davis	59.5	62	68.8	83
	@ (154) Nevada-Reno	59.3	58.8	68.1	84
Nov 22 2012	(190) Toledo	59.9	61.9	68.2	66
	@ (191) Florida Gulf Coast	59.4	61.4	71.1	72
Jan 09 2013	(190) Toledo	59.9	61.9	68.2	70
	@ (104) Kent St.	62.4	58.6	68.1	58

Central Florida @ Houston

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
101	Central Florida	10-5	63.2	59.3	66.5	51.2 %	70	63.6	69
183	@ Houston	11-4	61.8	63.1	70.6	48.8 %	-	64.5	76

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 12 2013	(101) Central Florida	63.2	59.3	66.5	85
	@ (164) East Carolina	61.9	62	70.5	88
Jan 16 2013	(109) Evansville	62.5	59.1	67.3	69
	@ (150) Drake	62.5	61.9	70.5	83
Dec 29 2012	(105) Pacific	61.4	57.8	65.3	63
	@ (186) CSU-Long Beach	62.2	63.9	69	67

Howard @ North Carolina A&T

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
300	Howard	3-13	51.1	60.7	63	11.4 %	65	49	51
216	@ North Carolina A&T	7-10	56.5	60	68.9	88.6 %	-	60.4	61

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(300) Howard	51.1	60.7	63	70
	@ (285) Coppin St.	54	62.2	69.9	60
Dec 16 2012	(314) Southeastern Louisiana	51.9	62.3	66.4	40
	@ (245) North Texas	56.8	62.5	67.9	45
Jan 05 2013	(322) California-Riverside	50.1	61.7	64.6	61
	@ (166) Hawaii	58.7	58.9	70.2	76

Missouri-Kansas City @ IP-Fort Wayne

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
317	Missouri-Kansas City	4-14	56.2	66.9	65.1	19.2 %	66	56	53
263	@ IP-Fort Wayne	7-11	55.1	62.2	68.2	80.8 %	-	65.5	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 21 2012	(323) Kennesaw St.	54.9	66.7	65.9	47
	@ (263) IP-Fort Wayne	55.1	62.2	68.2	70
Nov 18 2012	(317) Missouri-Kansas City	56.2	66.9	65.1	63
	@ (243) Norfolk St.	55.5	60.9	67.7	57
Nov 19 2012	(318) Troy	56.1	67	63.8	68
	@ (293) Tennessee-Chattanooga	55.1	63.9	69.2	61

South Dakota St. @ IUPUI

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
120	South Dakota St.	11-6	64.6	62	64.9	82.6 %	66	70.7	75
324	@ IUPUI	4-15	57.5	69.2	68.6	17.4 %	-	62.8	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(120) South Dakota St.	64.6	62	64.9	71
	@ (273) South Dakota	61.5	68.9	68.4	74
Jan 05 2013	(142) Oral Roberts	62.4	61.4	66.3	76
	@ (283) Nicholls St.	56.9	65.1	68.5	63
Jan 10 2013	(140) Robert Morris	61.2	59.7	65.8	88
	@ (328) Fairleigh Dickinson	56.2	68.2	69.5	54

Idaho @ Texas-Arlington

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
148	Idaho	5-10	64	63.3	64.2	34.6 %	62	57	55
171	@ Texas-Arlington	8-7	54.9	55.4	65.5	65.4 %	-	61.5	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 03 2013	(148) Idaho	64	63.3	64.2	64
	@ (233) San Jose St.	54.8	59.8	68.4	55
Nov 24 2012	(153) Northeastern	63.5	63	63.6	59
	@ (98) North Carolina-Charlotte	58.2	53.3	68.9	67
Jan 03 2013	(153) Northeastern	63.5	63	63.6	84
	@ (126) George Mason	59.3	57	68.1	74

Northern Arizona @ Idaho St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
297	Northern Arizona	5-12	55.4	64.3	70.5	43.7 %	63	56.4	61
326	@ Idaho St.	3-12	51.6	63.3	59.9	56.3 %	-	59	62

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 03 2013	(269) North Dakota	56.1	63.3	67.9	66
	@ (326) Idaho St.	51.6	63.3	59.9	53
Jan 17 2013	(259) CSU-Sacramento	57	63.5	64.7	59
	@ (326) Idaho St.	51.6	63.3	59.9	60
Jan 05 2013	(294) Northern Colorado	56.7	65.5	67.8	63
	@ (326) Idaho St.	51.6	63.3	59.9	86

Wisconsin @ Iowa

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
9	Wisconsin	13-4	67.4	50.6	62.9	53.7 %	66	57.1	62
37	@ Iowa	12-5	63.1	52.1	70.2	46.3 %	-	56.8	62

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(20) Michigan St.	66.3	53.2	66.5	62
	@ (37) Iowa	63.1	52.1	70.2	59
Nov 24 2012	(9) Wisconsin	67.4	50.6	62.9	77
	@ (53) Arkansas	65	56.2	72.3	70
Dec 08 2012	(9) Wisconsin	67.4	50.6	62.9	50
	@ (33) Marquette	66.9	55.6	66.8	60

Iowa St. @ TCU

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
34	Iowa St.	12-4	69.6	58.2	71	87.6 %	65	64.4	62
229	@ TCU	8-8	52.8	57.6	61	12.4 %	-	54	55

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 18 2012	(102) Southern	62.1	58.2	64.9	57
	@ (229) TCU	52.8	57.6	61	68
Nov 15 2012	(21) North Carolina St.	70.9	57.9	68.9	72
	@ (170) Penn St.	58.6	59.1	65.5	55
Nov 20 2012	(27) UCLA	68.5	56.2	70.5	60
	@ (159) Georgia	58.2	58.2	63.9	56

James Madison @ Towson

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
178	James Madison	9-9	58.9	59.7	66.1	36.8 %	68	55.9	67
198	@ Towson	8-9	56.9	59.4	68.9	63.2 %	-	59.8	68

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(167) North Carolina Central	60	60.3	64.7	66
	@ (216) North Carolina A&T	56.5	60	68.9	62
Jan 03 2013	(165) Western Kentucky	59	59.1	66.6	67
	@ (208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	75
Dec 04 2012	(168) Drexel	59.5	59.9	64.3	66
	@ (180) Tennessee St.	58.9	60	67.5	76

Kansas @ Texas

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
6	Kansas	15-1	69.1	49.3	68.6	86 %	71	58.5	67
99	@ Texas	8-7	56.5	51.8	69.4	14 %	-	48.5	55

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 08 2012	(27) UCLA	68.5	56.2	70.5	65
	@ (99) Texas	56.5	51.8	69.4	63
Jan 08 2013	(12) Ohio St.	66.8	50.4	68	74
	@ (78) Purdue	60.7	54	67.8	64
Dec 15 2012	(3) Louisville	69.2	47.5	69.1	87
	@ (41) Memphis	64	53.2	68.8	78

Oklahoma @ Kansas St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
35	Oklahoma	12-3	65.1	53.9	66.9	34 %	65	56.8	63
46	@ Kansas St.	13-2	64.2	54.1	65.9	66 %	-	61.3	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(20) Michigan St.	66.3	53.2	66.5	62
	@ (45) Connecticut	65.1	54.5	67.3	66
Dec 22 2012	(60) Southern Mississippi	63.9	55.5	66.2	51
	@ (32) Wichita St.	65.2	53.6	66.2	59
Jan 05 2013	(35) Oklahoma	65.1	53.9	66.9	67
	@ (93) West Virginia	61.7	56.3	65.7	57

Monmouth @ Long Island-Brooklyn

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
299	Monmouth	7-11	51.3	60.9	72.5	19.4 %	76	59.4	71
277	@ Long Island-Brooklyn	7-10	62.8	70.6	70.4	80.6 %	-	67.2	83

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(218) Morehead St.	55.4	58.9	71.1	77
	@ (277) Long Island-Brooklyn	62.8	70.6	70.4	74
Jan 10 2013	(211) Wagner	52.7	56	67.1	86
	@ (277) Long Island-Brooklyn	62.8	70.6	70.4	75
Nov 17 2012	(292) Southern Utah	52.2	60.8	71.8	69
	@ (179) CSU-Fullerton	65.5	66.5	72.3	112

La Salle @ Xavier

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
66	La Salle	12-4	63.7	56	69.1	35.7 %	64	58	61
84	@ Xavier	10-6	63	56.7	62.7	64.3 %	-	62.3	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(62) Temple	63.1	55	67.2	52
	@ (84) Xavier	63	56.7	62.7	57
Jan 02 2013	(85) Indiana St.	62.4	56.5	68.1	65
	@ (83) Northern Iowa	63.3	57	64.9	61
Dec 05 2012	(64) Dayton	64	56	68.6	81
	@ (57) Alabama	64	55.5	62.8	76

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Middle Tennessee St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
242	Louisiana-Lafayette	6-13	56.3	61.6	72.4	3 %	71	47.2	59
51	@ Middle Tennessee St.	15-4	61.8	52.8	65.6	97 %	-	66.8	78

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 31 2012	(245) North Texas	56.8	62.5	67.9	57
	@ (51) Middle Tennessee St.	61.8	52.8	65.6	75
Jan 17 2013	(208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	50
	@ (51) Middle Tennessee St.	61.8	52.8	65.6	82
Dec 29 2012	(192) Florida International	58.4	60.6	70.7	52
	@ (51) Middle Tennessee St.	61.8	52.8	65.6	69

Lamar @ McNeese St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
340	Lamar	2-15	49.9	65.8	69.8	13.6 %	68	55.1	61
320	@ McNeese St.	4-8	56.3	67.5	65.3	86.4 %	-	65.5	76

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 15 2012	(340) Lamar	49.9	65.8	69.8	70
	@ (319) Texas-Pan American	57	68.1	66.4	75
Nov 25 2012	(337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	62
	@ (318) Troy	56.1	67	63.8	66
Dec 20 2012	(337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	70
	@ (319) Texas-Pan American	57	68.1	66.4	76

Liberty @ Presbyterian

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
306	Liberty	2-13	54.8	64.8	65.5	69.5 %	61	63.2	70
346	@ Presbyterian	0-15	51.4	71.1	62.5	30.5 %	-	59.4	59

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 12 2013	(246) Campbell	57.1	62.8	68.1	62
	@ (346) Presbyterian	51.4	71.1	62.5	46
Dec 15 2012	(215) Jacksonville St.	57.3	60.8	63.7	66
	@ (346) Presbyterian	51.4	71.1	62.5	59
Nov 24 2012	(308) Navy	55	65.1	61.5	63
	@ (311) Delaware St.	56.3	66.5	63.3	53

Lipscomb @ Stetson

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
313	Lipscomb	6-10	56.1	66.3	70.9	16.6 %	72	60	72
251	@ Stetson	7-10	60.5	66.5	68.8	83.4 %	-	70.4	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 31 2012	(313) Lipscomb	56.1	66.3	70.9	70
	@ (240) North Florida	59.6	64.7	67	84
Jan 03 2013	(312) Austin Peay	56.8	67	70.4	84
	@ (267) Southeast Missouri St.	58.6	65.7	67.2	86
Dec 18 2012	(313) Lipscomb	56.1	66.3	70.9	87
	@ (312) Austin Peay	56.8	67	70.4	84

Longwood @ North Carolina-Asheville

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
333	Longwood	1-15	52.7	67.4	72.3	2.3 %	78	49.5	63
133	@ North Carolina-Asheville	5-10	60.5	58.9	72.9	97.7 %	-	71.6	89

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 19 2012	(333) Longwood	52.7	67.4	72.3	61
	@ (107) Seton Hall	61.1	57.5	67.4	79
Nov 09 2012	(333) Longwood	52.7	67.4	72.3	47
	@ (202) Marshall	58.4	61.2	69.2	81
Nov 24 2012	(343) Mississippi Valley St.	51.6	68.2	70.3	50
	@ (137) LSU	58.4	56.9	72.8	75

Seattle @ Louisiana Tech

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
176	Seattle	5-10	57.7	58.4	73.2	13.3 %	78	51.4	62
97	@ Louisiana Tech	15-3	60.7	55.8	71.9	86.7 %	-	62.4	79

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 14 2012	(208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	52
	@ (97) Louisiana Tech	60.7	55.8	71.9	70
Dec 31 2012	(125) New Mexico St.	61	58.8	66.5	72
	@ (97) Louisiana Tech	60.7	55.8	71.9	81
Nov 28 2012	(176) Seattle	57.7	58.4	73.2	57
	@ (56) Stanford	62.7	54.1	68.7	68

Syracuse @ Louisville

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
13	Syracuse	16-1	66.5	50.4	69.3	13.1 %	71	51.8	60
3	@ Louisville	16-1	69.2	47.5	69.1	86.9 %	-	62.9	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 29 2012	(18) Kentucky	65.7	52.6	70.8	77
	@ (3) Louisville	69.2	47.5	69.1	80
Nov 28 2012	(12) Ohio St.	66.8	50.4	68	68
	@ (4) Duke	70.7	49.6	69.1	73
Nov 24 2012	(4) Duke	70.7	49.6	69.1	76
	@ (3) Louisville	69.2	47.5	69.1	71

Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
209	Loyola Marymount	7-9	60.2	63.4	67.3	19.9 %	67	59.1	64
163	@ San Francisco	5-11	61.4	61.5	66.7	80.1 %	-	68.4	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 22 2012	(209) Loyola Marymount	60.2	63.4	67.3	66
	@ (142) Oral Roberts	62.4	61.4	66.3	75
Jan 16 2013	(209) Loyola Marymount	60.2	63.4	67.3	70
	@ (145) San Diego	61.2	60.3	64.4	78
Nov 11 2012	(209) Loyola Marymount	60.2	63.4	67.3	58
	@ (174) SMU	59.1	59.8	65.2	73

Manhattan @ Niagara

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
237	Manhattan	5-12	53.6	58.6	64.4	9.3 %	69	52.8	58
117	@ Niagara	10-8	64.3	61.5	71.5	90.7 %	-	66.4	75

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 17 2013	(237) Manhattan	53.6	58.6	64.4	60
	@ (161) Canisius	63.8	63.8	67.4	64
Dec 12 2012	(234) Hartford	55.2	60.2	65	59
	@ (117) Niagara	64.3	61.5	71.5	75
Jan 17 2013	(295) Siena	53.5	62.4	63.9	64
	@ (117) Niagara	64.3	61.5	71.5	87

St. Peter's @ Marist

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
288	St. Peter's	6-11	54	62.4	63.7	28.1 %	65	55.4	59
281	@ Marist	4-14	55.6	63.7	68.8	71.9 %	-	61.2	58

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 16 2012	(288) St. Peter's	54	62.4	63.7	68
	@ (262) Cornell	55.3	62.2	70.5	64
Nov 25 2012	(295) Siena	53.5	62.4	63.9	66
	@ (278) Maine	56.9	64.7	70.6	72
Dec 30 2012	(279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	63
	@ (258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	65

Maryland @ North Carolina

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
55	Maryland	14-3	61.6	52.8	66.8	33.5 %	72	56	69
58	@ North Carolina	10-5	65.3	56.8	72.9	66.5 %	-	61.3	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 23 2012	(73) Arizona St.	61.7	54.7	67.1	83
	@ (53) Arkansas	65	56.2	72.3	68
Nov 19 2012	(89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	64
	@ (63) Illinois	65	57	68.4	94
Dec 13 2012	(51) Middle Tennessee St.	61.8	52.8	65.6	49
	@ (29) Belmont	65.8	53.7	69.6	64

South Carolina Upstate @ Mercer

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
157	South Carolina Upstate	7-9	60.9	60.6	65.1	33 %	63	55.7	56
169	@ Mercer	9-8	56.7	57.1	64.7	67 %	-	60.5	60

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 12 2013	(145) San Diego	61.2	60.3	64.4	62
	@ (197) Pepperdine	56.9	59.3	64.5	50
Nov 23 2012	(135) Loyola Maryland	60.3	58.7	64.3	58
	@ (144) Rhode Island	58	57.1	64.4	54
Dec 15 2012	(174) SMU	59.1	59.8	65.2	50
	@ (144) Rhode Island	58	57.1	64.4	72

Ohio St. @ Michigan St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
12	Ohio St.	13-3	66.8	50.4	68	45 %	67	57.5	61
20	@ Michigan St.	14-3	66.3	53.2	66.5	54.9 %	-	59.9	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(12) Ohio St.	66.8	50.4	68	55
	@ (63) Illinois	65	57	68.4	74
Dec 22 2012	(13) Syracuse	66.5	50.4	69.3	79
	@ (62) Temple	63.1	55	67.2	83
Nov 09 2012	(20) Michigan St.	66.3	53.2	66.5	62
	@ (45) Connecticut	65.1	54.5	67.3	66

Youngstown St. @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
207	Youngstown St.	6-8	56.8	59.9	71.3	56 %	71	56.6	72
296	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	3-13	53.2	62.2	67.1	44 %	-	56.1	60

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 17 2013	(236) Cleveland St.	55.5	60.5	67.7	57
	@ (296) Wisconsin-Milwaukee	53.2	62.2	67.1	69
Jan 03 2013	(196) South Alabama-Mobile	58	60.3	70	77
	@ (284) Louisiana-Monroe	54	62.1	66.6	72
Nov 25 2012	(160) Rider	57.9	57.9	68.9	74
	@ (296) Wisconsin-Milwaukee	53.2	62.2	67.1	60

Mississippi St. @ Tennessee

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
204	Mississippi St.	7-8	52.9	55.8	68.3	8.5 %	66	47.7	54
92	@ Tennessee	8-7	62.1	56.7	64.9	91.5 %	-	61.1	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(204) Mississippi St.	52.9	55.8	68.3	63
	@ (71) Providence	64.3	57.1	66.7	73
Dec 15 2012	(204) Mississippi St.	52.9	55.8	68.3	51
	@ (138) Loyola Chicago	60.3	58.8	62.8	59
Jan 12 2013	(204) Mississippi St.	52.9	55.8	68.3	72
	@ (159) Georgia	58.2	58.2	63.9	61

Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
305	Prairie View A&M	4-11	51.3	61.3	67.5	55.7 %	70	57.1	59
343	@ Mississippi Valley St.	1-14	51.6	68.2	70.3	44.3 %	-	55.9	62

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 23 2012	(238) CSU-Bakersfield	55.8	60.9	67.4	69
	@ (343) Mississippi Valley St.	51.6	68.2	70.3	64
Jan 08 2013	(337) Alabama St.	51.3	66.4	68.6	69
	@ (343) Mississippi Valley St.	51.6	68.2	70.3	65
Jan 07 2013	(314) Southeastern Louisiana	51.9	62.3	66.4	67
	@ (340) Lamar	49.9	65.8	69.8	63

Montana St. @ Montana

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
290	Montana St.	4-8	57.9	66.5	69.3	11.6 %	67	58.7	62
187	@ Montana	9-4	61.6	63.2	65.1	88.4 %	-	71.8	68

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 21 2012	(290) Montana St.	57.9	66.5	69.3	72
	@ (147) Air Force	62.2	61.5	65.8	86
Nov 23 2012	(272) Utah Valley	58.8	66.2	66.7	50
	@ (157) South Carolina Upstate	60.9	60.6	65.1	75
Dec 19 2012	(290) Montana St.	57.9	66.5	69.3	57
	@ (259) CSU-Sacramento	57	63.5	64.7	62

Morehead St. @ Tennessee-Martin

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
218	Morehead St.	7-10	55.4	58.9	71.1	73.5 %	74	58.6	73
332	@ Tennessee-Martin	2-14	51.8	65.7	70	26.5 %	-	53.6	66

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 16 2012	(139) Arkansas St.	58.6	57.1	67	77
	@ (332) Tennessee-Martin	51.8	65.7	70	73
Dec 23 2012	(238) CSU-Bakersfield	55.8	60.9	67.4	69
	@ (343) Mississippi Valley St.	51.6	68.2	70.3	64
Dec 01 2012	(198) Towson	56.9	59.4	68.9	62
	@ (303) Maryland-Baltimore County	53.2	63.2	69.8	66

SIU-Edwardsville @ Murray St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
261	SIU-Edwardsville	4-9	54	60.8	66.5	7.2 %	67	52	55
119	@ Murray St.	11-4	62.8	60.2	67.4	92.8 %	-	67.1	80

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(261) SIU-Edwardsville	54	60.8	66.5	72
	@ (114) Eastern Kentucky	63.6	60.6	65.3	78
Dec 16 2012	(279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	59
	@ (100) Boston College	64.5	60.3	65.5	61
Nov 17 2012	(279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	64
	@ (175) Bryant	62.1	62.8	68.4	76

Nebraska @ Penn St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
151	Nebraska	9-9	56.4	55.8	62.9	34.5 %	61	53.3	53
170	@ Penn St.	8-9	58.6	59.1	65.5	65.5 %	-	57.5	57

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 17 2012	(169) Mercer	56.7	57.1	64.7	36
	@ (162) Illinois-Chicago	58.8	58.8	63.3	62
Nov 27 2012	(151) Nebraska	56.4	55.8	62.9	79
	@ (130) Wake Forest	59.2	57.2	69	63
Dec 18 2012	(169) Mercer	56.7	57.1	64.7	49
	@ (159) Georgia	58.2	58.2	63.9	58

San Jose St. @ New Mexico St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
233	San Jose St.	8-8	54.8	59.8	68.4	10.2 %	68	51.4	53
125	@ New Mexico St.	10-8	61	58.8	66.5	89.8 %	-	64.2	64

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 20 2012	(236) Cleveland St.	55.5	60.5	67.7	62
	@ (140) Robert Morris	61.2	59.7	65.8	71
Dec 22 2012	(233) San Jose St.	54.8	59.8	68.4	68
	@ (178) James Madison	58.9	59.7	66.1	77
Nov 12 2012	(243) Norfolk St.	55.5	60.9	67.7	65
	@ (107) Seton Hall	61.1	57.5	67.4	78

New Orleans @ Rice

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
336	New Orleans	2-11	50	65.1	72.2	23.1 %	68	54.9	65
331	@ Rice	2-12	53.4	67.2	63	76.9 %	-	61.7	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(341) Houston Baptist	48.6	64.7	71	53
	@ (331) Rice	53.4	67.2	63	61
Nov 24 2012	(341) Houston Baptist	48.6	64.7	71	44
	@ (327) Eastern Illinois	55	67	60.9	64
Dec 19 2012	(302) Chicago St.	52.5	62.3	68.8	60
	@ (331) Rice	53.4	67.2	63	63

Nicholls St. @ Stephen F. Austin

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
283	Nicholls St.	4-11	56.9	65.1	68.5	2.2 %	63	45.7	44
65	@ Stephen F. Austin	11-1	58.6	50.7	61.8	97.8 %	-	67.1	71

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 11 2012	(226) Duquesne	59.1	63.5	70.4	55
	@ (52) Georgetown	59.9	51	64.6	61
Nov 25 2012	(281) Marist	55.6	63.7	68.8	44
	@ (74) Clemson	59.7	52.9	62.2	59
Nov 18 2012	(286) Sacred Heart	56.8	65.1	68.7	64
	@ (79) SUNY-Stony Brook	61.2	54.5	65.7	62

Portland St. @ North Dakota

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
244	Portland St.	3-9	59.2	64.6	64.8	37.6 %	65	60	67
269	@ North Dakota	4-10	56.1	63.3	67.9	62.4 %	-	64.2	68

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 17 2013	(244) Portland St.	59.2	64.6	64.8	50
	@ (294) Northern Colorado	56.7	65.5	67.8	67
Jan 07 2013	(222) Georgia St.	59.5	63.7	64	50
	@ (289) Hofstra	54.8	63.2	67	52
Jan 16 2013	(253) Old Dominion	57.6	63.8	65.5	60
	@ (255) North Carolina-Wilmington	56.4	62.7	67.2	65

North Dakota St. @ Western Illinois

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
38	North Dakota St.	14-3	65.8	54.8	61	72.4 %	53	60.9	50
149	@ Western Illinois	12-4	58.4	57.8	59.2	27.6 %	-	56.2	50

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 24 2012	(38) North Dakota St.	65.8	54.8	61	59
	@ (134) Wisconsin-Green Bay	59	57.4	65.4	74
Nov 21 2012	(38) North Dakota St.	65.8	54.8	61	66
	@ (178) James Madison	58.9	59.7	66.1	44
Nov 23 2012	(47) Bucknell	65.8	55.8	63.7	57
	@ (170) Penn St.	58.6	59.1	65.5	60

Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
152	Western Michigan	8-7	57.6	57	65.8	64.7 %	64	54.9	58
265	@ Northern Illinois	2-12	52.5	59.6	65.6	35.3 %	-	52.3	57

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 27 2012	(162) Illinois-Chicago	58.8	58.8	63.3	58
	@ (265) Northern Illinois	52.5	59.6	65.6	46
Jan 02 2013	(116) Vermont	59	56.2	63.9	64
	@ (279) New Hampshire	53.3	61.2	66.6	51
Dec 05 2012	(188) Gardner-Webb	55.4	57.1	66.8	42
	@ (228) Wofford	53.5	58.1	64.3	54

Southeastern Louisiana @ Northwestern St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
314	Southeastern Louisiana	3-10	51.9	62.3	66.4	8.4 %	74	51.7	61
195	@ Northwestern St.	6-6	59.6	61.9	74.9	91.6 %	-	65.4	79

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 16 2012	(295) Siena	53.5	62.4	63.9	64
	@ (206) CSU-Northridge	60	63	73	68
Dec 16 2012	(314) Southeastern Louisiana	51.9	62.3	66.4	40
	@ (245) North Texas	56.8	62.5	67.9	45
Jan 03 2013	(322) California-Riverside	50.1	61.7	64.6	65
	@ (206) CSU-Northridge	60	63	73	64

Rutgers @ Notre Dame

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
81	Rutgers	12-4	66.3	59.7	65.7	13.7 %	61	63.3	60
23	@ Notre Dame	14-3	72.8	59.8	62.6	86.3 %	-	76.5	75

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 31 2012	(88) Harvard	65.6	60.1	66.3	69
	@ (44) St. Mary's (CA)	70.9	60.2	66	70
Nov 10 2012	(109) Evansville	62.5	59.1	67.3	49
	@ (23) Notre Dame	72.8	59.8	62.6	58
Jan 12 2013	(45) Connecticut	65.1	54.5	67.3	65
	@ (23) Notre Dame	72.8	59.8	62.6	58

South Dakota @ Oakland

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
273	South Dakota	5-12	61.5	68.9	68.4	15.6 %	71	61.6	74
193	@ Oakland	6-12	60.6	62.8	69.4	84.4 %	-	73.3	84

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 17 2013	(273) South Dakota	61.5	68.9	68.4	60
	@ (263) IP-Fort Wayne	55.1	62.2	68.2	62
Jan 12 2013	(200) Central Michigan	62.4	65	67	72
	@ (190) Toledo	59.9	61.9	68.2	76
Nov 29 2012	(186) CSU-Long Beach	62.2	63.9	69	73
	@ (209) Loyola Marymount	60.2	63.4	67.3	70

Toledo @ Ohio

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
190	Toledo	6-8	59.9	61.9	68.2	8.4 %	70	54.5	63
76	@ Ohio	12-5	63.7	56.9	69.4	91.6 %	-	69.2	79

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 08 2012	(193) Oakland	60.6	62.8	69.4	61
	@ (76) Ohio	63.7	56.9	69.4	78
Jan 05 2013	(202) Marshall	58.4	61.2	69.2	57
	@ (76) Ohio	63.7	56.9	69.4	94
Nov 12 2012	(213) St. Francis-Brooklyn	59.4	62.8	68.2	64
	@ (63) Illinois	65	57	68.4	89

Texas Tech @ Oklahoma St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
230	Texas Tech	8-7	57.8	62.6	69.6	1.9 %	70	47	56
28	@ Oklahoma St.	11-4	63.2	51.1	68.1	98.1 %	-	69.4	80

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(199) California-Davis	59.5	62	68.8	65
	@ (28) Oklahoma St.	63.2	51.1	68.1	73
Dec 06 2012	(208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	53
	@ (24) Cincinnati	64	51.2	68.3	87
Jan 16 2013	(230) Texas Tech	57.8	62.6	69.6	63
	@ (35) Oklahoma	65.1	53.9	66.9	81

Oral Roberts @ Sam Houston St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
142	Oral Roberts	8-8	62.4	61.4	66.3	56 %	64	58.1	61
231	@ Sam Houston St.	8-6	53.3	58.1	65.5	44 %	-	57.8	65

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 21 2012	(175) Bryant	62.1	62.8	68.4	68
	@ (257) Brown	53	59.5	65.9	61
Jan 03 2013	(142) Oral Roberts	62.4	61.4	66.3	86
	@ (314) Southeastern Louisiana	51.9	62.3	66.4	72
Nov 21 2012	(118) California-Irvine	60.4	57.7	66.5	63
	@ (231) Sam Houston St.	53.3	58.1	65.5	65

Oregon @ UCLA

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
25	Oregon	15-2	65.2	52.5	71.2	34.4 %	74	58.8	76
27	@ UCLA	15-3	68.5	56.2	70.5	65.6 %	-	64.3	80

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(40) San Diego St.	65.3	54.4	68.3	78
	@ (27) UCLA	68.5	56.2	70.5	69
Dec 01 2012	(30) BYU	64.9	53	71	62
	@ (34) Iowa St.	69.6	58.2	71	83
Jan 05 2013	(56) Stanford	62.7	54.1	68.7	60
	@ (27) UCLA	68.5	56.2	70.5	68

Oregon St. @ USC

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
129	Oregon St.	10-7	61.7	59.7	70.6	18.2 %	70	55.3	66
89	@ USC	7-11	61.6	56	66.6	81.8 %	-	64.6	70

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 30 2012	(96) Illinois St.	63.3	58.3	71.2	75
	@ (85) Indiana St.	62.4	56.5	68.1	77
Nov 25 2012	(158) Delaware	61.3	61	69.2	75
	@ (62) Temple	63.1	55	67.2	80
Dec 19 2012	(193) Oakland	60.6	62.8	69.4	71
	@ (93) West Virginia	61.7	56.3	65.7	76

Pennsylvania @ Saint Joseph's

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
268	Pennsylvania	3-13	53.1	60.3	68.9	3.5 %	67	49.3	53
80	@ Saint Joseph's	9-6	64.7	58.2	65.1	96.5 %	-	68.6	73

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 10 2012	(264) NJIT	54.2	61.2	69	63
	@ (71) Providence	64.3	57.1	66.7	64
Dec 01 2012	(296) Wisconsin-Milwaukee	53.2	62.2	67.1	61
	@ (83) Northern Iowa	63.3	57	64.9	72
Jan 05 2013	(261) SIU-Edwardsville	54	60.8	66.5	72
	@ (114) Eastern Kentucky	63.6	60.6	65.3	78

California-Santa Clara @ Pepperdine

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
68	California-Santa Clara	11-6	66.6	59.1	69.6	70.5 %	67	63.2	69
197	@ Pepperdine	8-8	56.9	59.3	64.5	29.5 %	-	59.1	62

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 27 2012	(87) Detroit	66.8	61.3	70.7	65
	@ (217) Bowling Green	55.5	59	64.5	70
Nov 18 2012	(48) Akron	65.7	55.9	68.6	85
	@ (170) Penn St.	58.6	59.1	65.5	60
Dec 15 2012	(68) California-Santa Clara	66.6	59.1	69.6	75
	@ (105) Pacific	61.4	57.8	65.3	71

St. Mary's (CA) @ Portland

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
44	St. Mary's (CA)	13-4	70.9	60.2	66	83.4 %	64	65.7	70
220	@ Portland	6-11	53.8	57.7	65	16.6 %	-	57.1	54

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 17 2013	(11) Gonzaga	73.2	56.7	66.7	71
	@ (220) Portland	53.8	57.7	65	49
Nov 25 2012	(44) St. Mary's (CA)	70.9	60.2	66	56
	@ (95) Georgia Tech	57.1	52.1	66.7	65
Dec 23 2012	(44) St. Mary's (CA)	70.9	60.2	66	75
	@ (83) Northern Iowa	63.3	57	64.9	82

Villanova @ Providence

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
90	Villanova	10-6	61.5	56	69.7	24.5 %	69	56.2	65
71	@ Providence	9-8	64.3	57.1	66.7	75.5 %	-	63.7	70

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 25 2012	(90) Villanova	61.5	56	69.7	74
	@ (66) La Salle	63.7	56	69.1	77
Nov 18 2012	(133) North Carolina-Asheville	60.5	58.9	72.9	67
	@ (71) Providence	64.3	57.1	66.7	72
Dec 29 2012	(127) Auburn	60.2	58	68.8	79
	@ (63) Illinois	65	57	68.4	81

West Virginia @ Purdue

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
93	West Virginia	8-8	61.7	56.3	65.7	24.6 %	66	53.4	56
78	@ Purdue	9-8	60.7	54	67.8	75.4 %	-	60.2	63

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 10 2013	(89) USC	61.6	56	66.6	60
	@ (59) Colorado	63.1	54.6	69.7	66
Jan 02 2013	(63) Illinois	65	57	68.4	61
	@ (78) Purdue	60.7	54	67.8	68
Jan 12 2013	(82) Washington St.	62.2	55.8	64.1	54
	@ (72) California	62.6	55.4	68.2	67

Quinnipiac @ Robert Morris

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
260	Quinnipiac	6-11	56.4	63	70.2	9.2 %	69	53.9	61
140	@ Robert Morris	11-7	61.2	59.7	65.8	90.8 %	-	67.8	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 13 2012	(255) North Carolina-Wilmington	56.4	62.7	67.2	58
	@ (113) Richmond	62.5	59.5	65.7	101
Jan 17 2013	(286) Sacred Heart	56.8	65.1	68.7	62
	@ (140) Robert Morris	61.2	59.7	65.8	66
Jan 02 2013	(258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	59
	@ (146) Columbia	60.4	59.5	63.9	66

Rhode Island @ Saint Louis

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
144	Rhode Island	5-10	58	57.1	64.4	7.9 %	60	48.8	55
49	@ Saint Louis	12-4	62.4	52.8	63.3	92.1 %	-	62.8	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(134) Wisconsin-Green Bay	59	57.4	65.4	51
	@ (61) Virginia	60.8	52.6	60.6	67
Nov 12 2012	(123) Fairfield	58.2	55.8	63.2	45
	@ (61) Virginia	60.8	52.6	60.6	54
Dec 21 2012	(141) Vanderbilt	56.8	55.6	62.3	52
	@ (51) Middle Tennessee St.	61.8	52.8	65.6	56

SMU @ Texas-El Paso

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
174	SMU	10-8	59.1	59.8	65.2	13.1 %	62	53.1	60
94	@ Texas-El Paso	9-7	61.3	56.2	64	86.9 %	-	64.5	64

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 18 2012	(174) SMU	59.1	59.8	65.2	53
	@ (112) Utah	61.1	57.9	62.5	62
Nov 28 2012	(125) New Mexico St.	61	58.8	66.5	54
	@ (94) Texas-El Paso	61.3	56.2	64	55
Dec 01 2012	(162) Illinois-Chicago	58.8	58.8	63.3	50
	@ (77) Northwestern	63	56.3	63.8	44

CSU-Sacramento @ Weber St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
259	CSU-Sacramento	6-7	57	63.5	64.7	5 %	64	53.9	53
91	@ Weber St.	10-3	64.6	59.2	67.1	95 %	-	71.9	73

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 24 2012	(253) Old Dominion	57.6	63.8	65.5	72
	@ (119) Murray St.	62.8	60.2	67.4	79
Dec 05 2012	(239) Miami (OH)	58.5	63.6	67.2	68
	@ (109) Evansville	62.5	59.1	67.3	94
Dec 12 2012	(270) Bethune-Cookman	57.9	65.2	65.3	62
	@ (101) Central Florida	63.2	59.3	66.5	72

Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis (PA)

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
286	Sacred Heart	5-11	56.8	65.1	68.7	53.7 %	66	60.7	68
330	@ Saint Francis (PA)	1-15	52.9	66.5	65	46.3 %	-	61.2	73

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 21 2012	(258) Colgate	57.2	63.7	68	85
	@ (330) Saint Francis (PA)	52.9	66.5	65	76
Jan 17 2013	(260) Quinnipiac	56.4	63	70.2	75
	@ (330) Saint Francis (PA)	52.9	66.5	65	66
Dec 28 2012	(262) Cornell	55.3	62.2	70.5	79
	@ (330) Saint Francis (PA)	52.9	66.5	65	67

San Diego St. @ Wyoming

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
40	San Diego St.	12-3	65.3	54.4	68.3	37.2 %	62	56.6	58
54	@ Wyoming	12-2	62.5	53.7	61.5	62.8 %	-	60.1	66

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 01 2012	(59) Colorado	63.1	54.6	69.7	69
	@ (54) Wyoming	62.5	53.7	61.5	76
Jan 09 2013	(42) Boise St.	67.3	56.5	67.2	63
	@ (54) Wyoming	62.5	53.7	61.5	61
Dec 22 2012	(47) Bucknell	65.8	55.8	63.7	67
	@ (75) Princeton	62.8	56	61.4	79

Vanderbilt @ South Carolina

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
141	Vanderbilt	6-9	56.8	55.6	62.3	44 %	64	57.7	61
194	@ South Carolina	11-5	61.2	63.4	68.8	56 %	-	59.9	67

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 03 2012	(132) Fresno St.	56.3	54.5	62.7	64
	@ (186) CSU-Long Beach	62.2	63.9	69	59
Nov 24 2012	(205) Missouri St.	56.7	59.7	62.2	67
	@ (194) South Carolina	61.2	63.4	68.8	74
Jan 10 2013	(169) Mercer	56.7	57.1	64.7	66
	@ (240) North Florida	59.6	64.7	67	47

Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri St.

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
316	Tennessee Tech	5-10	56.3	66.9	66.4	18.7 %	66	59.5	65
267	@ Southeast Missouri St.	8-10	58.6	65.7	67.2	81.3 %	-	69.1	77

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 15 2012	(320) McNeese St.	56.3	67.5	65.3	53
	@ (267) Southeast Missouri St.	58.6	65.7	67.2	64
Jan 12 2013	(323) Kennesaw St.	54.9	66.7	65.9	72
	@ (240) North Florida	59.6	64.7	67	81
Dec 05 2012	(317) Missouri-Kansas City	56.2	66.9	65.1	73
	@ (269) North Dakota	56.1	63.3	67.9	70

UAB @ Southern Mississippi

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
172	UAB	7-9	57.4	58	74.9	7.9 %	74	50.8	66
60	@ Southern Mississippi	12-4	63.9	55.5	66.2	92.1 %	-	65.3	74

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Jan 05 2013	(172) UAB	57.4	58	74.9	71
	@ (64) Dayton	64	56	68.6	78
Dec 01 2012	(172) UAB	57.4	58	74.9	84
	@ (58) North Carolina	65.3	56.8	72.9	102
Nov 28 2012	(176) Seattle	57.7	58.4	73.2	57
	@ (56) Stanford	62.7	54.1	68.7	68

St. Bonaventure @ Temple

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
131	St. Bonaventure	7-9	63.8	61.9	66.7	12.1 %	67	56.5	63
62	@ Temple	12-4	63.1	55	67.2	87.9 %	-	68.6	70

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 19 2012	(161) Canisius	63.8	63.8	67.4	72
	@ (62) Temple	63.1	55	67.2	62
Nov 28 2012	(131) St. Bonaventure	63.8	61.9	66.7	64
	@ (76) Ohio	63.7	56.9	69.4	69
Nov 25 2012	(158) Delaware	61.3	61	69.2	75
	@ (62) Temple	63.1	55	67.2	80

Utah Valley @ Texas-Pan American

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
272	Utah Valley	8-10	58.8	66.2	66.7	44.9 %	66	64.2	69
319	@ Texas-Pan American	6-10	57	68.1	66.4	55.1 %	-	66.6	68

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 09 2012	(272) Utah Valley	58.8	66.2	66.7	54
	@ (324) IUPUI	57.5	69.2	68.6	67
Jan 09 2013	(272) Utah Valley	58.8	66.2	66.7	78
	@ (317) Missouri-Kansas City	56.2	66.9	65.1	66
Dec 08 2012	(272) Utah Valley	58.8	66.2	66.7	86
	@ (318) Troy	56.1	67	63.8	82

Texas St.-San Marcos @ Texas-San Antonio

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
280	Texas St.-San Marcos	3-14	59	66.9	72.4	28.8 %	72	64	66
275	@ Texas-San Antonio	4-12	60.1	67.8	66.7	71.2 %	-	70.7	72

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 20 2012	(280) Texas St.-San Marcos	59	66.9	72.4	80
	@ (200) Central Michigan	62.4	65	67	92
Jan 03 2013	(312) Austin Peay	56.8	67	70.4	84
	@ (267) Southeast Missouri St.	58.6	65.7	67.2	86
Dec 08 2012	(307) Central Arkansas	59.7	69.8	72.4	88
	@ (267) Southeast Missouri St.	58.6	65.7	67.2	85

Tulsa @ Tulane

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
177	Tulsa	10-7	54.4	55.1	67.7	17.1 %	64	49.4	60
111	@ Tulane	11-5	60.3	57.1	64	82.9 %	-	58.5	70

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 15 2012	(204) Mississippi St.	52.9	55.8	68.3	51
	@ (138) Loyola Chicago	60.3	58.8	62.8	59
Jan 06 2013	(177) Tulsa	54.4	55.1	67.7	48
	@ (174) SMU	59.1	59.8	65.2	47
Nov 16 2012	(177) Tulsa	54.4	55.1	67.7	63
	@ (145) San Diego	61.2	60.3	64.4	51

Arkansas-Little Rock @ Western Kentucky

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
208	Arkansas-Little Rock	10-9	57.8	61	68.3	19.9 %	68	54.6	56
165	@ Western Kentucky	10-8	59	59.1	66.6	80.1 %	-	63.3	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 24 2012	(208) Arkansas-Little Rock	57.8	61	68.3	69
	@ (174) SMU	59.1	59.8	65.2	56
Dec 27 2012	(192) Florida International	58.4	60.6	70.7	63
	@ (165) Western Kentucky	59	59.1	66.6	76
Jan 12 2013	(212) Florida Atlantic	58.2	61.6	66.1	65
	@ (165) Western Kentucky	59	59.1	66.6	62

California-Irvine @ California-Riverside

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
118	California-Irvine	8-9	60.4	57.7	66.5	86.5 %	64	59.6	61
322	@ California-Riverside	2-12	50.1	61.7	64.6	13.5 %	-	50.5	47

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 29 2012	(156) Boston U.	58.5	58.1	67.1	71
	@ (300) Howard	51.1	60.7	63	44
Dec 22 2012	(147) Air Force	62.2	61.5	65.8	61
	@ (322) California-Riverside	50.1	61.7	64.6	53
Dec 08 2012	(135) Loyola Maryland	60.3	58.7	64.3	61
	@ (288) St. Peter's	54	62.4	63.7	55

Utah @ Washington

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
112	Utah	6-9	61.1	57.9	62.5	12.5 %	61	54.7	61
50	@ Washington	12-5	65.4	55.9	65.3	87.5 %	-	66.8	69

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 11 2012	(135) Loyola Maryland	60.3	58.7	64.3	63
	@ (50) Washington	65.4	55.9	65.3	85
Jan 16 2013	(112) Utah	61.1	57.9	62.5	65
	@ (82) Washington St.	62.2	55.8	64.1	75
Dec 30 2012	(111) Tulane	60.3	57.1	64	53
	@ (57) Alabama	64	55.5	62.8	50

Wright St. @ Valparaiso

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
122	Wright St.	12-4	58.1	55.7	63.6	19.7 %	63	52.6	55
86	@ Valparaiso	13-5	62.3	56.8	66.9	80.3 %	-	61.3	62

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Nov 23 2012	(123) Fairfield	58.2	55.8	63.2	47
	@ (71) Providence	64.3	57.1	66.7	66
Dec 06 2012	(144) Rhode Island	58	57.1	64.4	57
	@ (71) Providence	64.3	57.1	66.7	72
Dec 22 2012	(123) Fairfield	58.2	55.8	63.2	60
	@ (80) Saint Joseph's	64.7	58.2	65.1	57

Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech

Rank	Team	W-L	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Log5 Win %	ExpPOS	ExpOE	Exp Score
130	Wake Forest	9-7	59.2	57.2	69	34.6 %	74	59.2	76
143	@ Virginia Tech	10-6	63.4	62.5	72.1	65.4 %	-	64	85

3 most similar matchups:

Date	Team	AdjOE	AdjDE	AdjPOS	Score
Dec 22 2012	(136) Bradley	59	57.5	67.2	65
	@ (143) Virginia Tech	63.4	62.5	72.1	66
Jan 12 2013	(127) Auburn	60.2	58	68.8	74
	@ (194) South Carolina	61.2	63.4	68.8	71
Nov 19 2012	(160) Rider	57.9	57.9	68.9	76
	@ (194) South Carolina	61.2	63.4	68.8	88