Daily Rundown for January 10, 2013



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Games for January 10, 2013


Click on the matchup in black above the first table for in-depth game breakdown and prediction center(ex. Click on "TeamA @ TeamB")



Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
324 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0-11 54.2 66.4 65.9 19 % 64 55.9 61
286 @ McNeese St. 3-7 55.3 63.9 65.9 81 % - 65.2 73


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Jan 07 2013 (299) Nicholls St. 55.6 65.4 68 64
@ (286) McNeese St. 55.3 63.9 65.9 63
Dec 08 2012 (289) Utah Valley 56.9 65.8 67.2 86
@ (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 82
Jan 01 2013 (312) Hofstra 53.7 64.6 67.9 57
@ (252) Florida Atlantic 56.1 62.1 66.7 61


Arizona @ Oregon


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
13 Arizona 14-0 69.4 52.7 68.6 41.1 % 74 57.9 70
23 @ Oregon 12-2 63.9 50.9 72.4 58.9 % - 59.9 71


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 23 2012 (7) Minnesota 71.6 51.6 66.8 84
@ (45) Memphis 64.1 54.1 69.7 75
Dec 31 2012 (6) Indiana 70.7 50.4 71.7 69
@ (46) Iowa 63.5 53.6 70.2 65
Dec 01 2012 (20) Baylor 69.5 56.1 68.9 64
@ (11) Kentucky 65.9 48.4 70.9 55


Arizona St. @ Oregon St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
77 Arizona St. 13-2 61 54.8 67.6 47.7 % 71 59.3 69
131 @ Oregon St. 10-4 62.9 60.7 70.5 52.3 % - 61.1 69


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 16 2012 (91) Purdue 60.1 54.7 68.1 58
@ (131) Oregon St. 62.9 60.7 70.5 66
Nov 16 2012 (101) St. John's (NY) 59.2 54.8 68 67
@ (114) Murray St. 63.6 60.1 68.1 72
Nov 18 2012 (104) Valparaiso 60.4 56.1 67 88
@ (124) Kent St. 62.6 59.8 67.8 83


Florida International @ Arkansas St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
189 Florida International 7-7 58.2 59.7 70.7 14.7 % 71 52.5 69
111 @ Arkansas St. 9-5 59.8 56.3 68.1 85.3 % - 63 76


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 13 2012 (189) Florida International 58.2 59.7 70.7 73
@ (139) Florida Gulf Coast 59.9 58.1 70.6 76
Dec 27 2012 (227) Louisiana-Lafayette 58.1 62.5 71.8 70
@ (111) Arkansas St. 59.8 56.3 68.1 87
Dec 27 2012 (189) Florida International 58.2 59.7 70.7 63
@ (176) Western Kentucky 59.6 60.4 66.4 76


Pepperdine @ BYU


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
173 Pepperdine 8-6 58.2 58.6 65.1 5.2 % 70 49.4 64
37 @ BYU 11-4 64 53.1 72.7 94.8 % - 66.2 74


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 28 2012 (159) California-Irvine 58.7 58.3 66.6 57
@ (43) UNLV 63.5 53.2 71.5 85
Nov 28 2012 (186) Montana 58.6 60.1 65.3 60
@ (37) BYU 64 53.1 72.7 85
Nov 28 2012 (185) Mercer 57.6 59.1 65.5 58
@ (53) New Mexico 62.2 53.1 67.9 76


Southeast Missouri St. @ Belmont


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
231 Southeast Missouri St. 8-7 58.2 62.6 67 2.3 % 68 48.8 59
30 @ Belmont 9-4 64.1 52.5 68.5 97.7 % - 70.6 76


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 03 2012 (194) Texas Southern 59.7 61.5 66.2 62
@ (34) San Diego St. 64.7 53.5 67.3 74
Nov 27 2012 (194) Texas Southern 59.7 61.5 66.2 80
@ (42) Colorado 64.5 54.2 70.3 85
Nov 11 2012 (273) Louisiana-Monroe 54.9 62.5 67 51
@ (40) Oklahoma 63.1 52.8 66.9 85


Quinnipiac @ Bryant


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
233 Quinnipiac 5-8 54.3 58.9 69.8 13.9 % 70 53.9 67
156 @ Bryant 9-4 62.4 61.8 67.4 86.1 % - 64.8 72


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 17 2012 (264) New Hampshire 53.1 59.9 67.5 64
@ (156) Bryant 62.4 61.8 67.4 76
Dec 22 2012 (187) Tulsa 54.5 55.9 68.8 72
@ (148) Oral Roberts 63.1 62.1 67.3 68
Dec 15 2012 (247) Cleveland St. 55.3 60.9 67.7 53
@ (151) St. Bonaventure 62 61.2 67.8 87


Cal Poly-SLO @ California-Davis


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
169 Cal Poly-SLO 5-6 63.9 63.9 62.5 39.4 % 64 64.2 74
206 @ California-Davis 4-9 60.5 63 69.3 60.6 % - 68.1 74


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 11 2012 (169) Cal Poly-SLO 63.9 63.9 62.5 56
@ (152) Nevada-Reno 59.8 59 68.4 69
Jan 05 2013 (174) South Dakota St. 62.9 63.3 65.4 71
@ (250) South Dakota 60.4 66.2 69.4 74
Nov 10 2012 (126) Air Force 64.5 61.9 65.7 76
@ (244) Army 59 64.3 70.4 65


Stephen F. Austin @ Central Arkansas


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
54 Stephen F. Austin 8-1 59.2 50.2 63.2 92.5 % 70 65.4 79
298 @ Central Arkansas 3-7 59.3 69 73.8 7.5 % - 52.4 60


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 21 2012 (111) Arkansas St. 59.8 56.3 68.1 73
@ (298) Central Arkansas 59.3 69 73.8 72
Dec 01 2012 (115) Fairfield 58.4 55.1 63.1 74
@ (295) Austin Peay 58.6 68.1 70.5 55
Nov 17 2012 (54) Stephen F. Austin 59.2 50.2 63.2 69
@ (189) Florida International 58.2 59.7 70.7 60


Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
308 Sacred Heart 4-9 55.7 66.4 68.6 12.4 % 75 58.1 75
230 @ Central Connecticut St. 5-8 60.3 64.7 73.4 87.6 % - 70.5 91


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 22 2012 (299) Nicholls St. 55.6 65.4 68 71
@ (206) California-Davis 60.5 63 69.3 82
Nov 12 2012 (294) Eastern Washington 57.3 66.7 69.9 79
@ (211) CSU-Northridge 60.6 63.7 73.2 96
Nov 20 2012 (304) North Dakota 55.5 65.7 68.6 66
@ (181) Hawaii 60.2 61.4 69.8 71


Tennessee-Chattanooga @ Citadel


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
268 Tennessee-Chattanooga 4-9 54.9 61.8 68.2 84.9 % 67 66.2 67
346 @ Citadel 1-9 51.6 74 66.7 15.1 % - 56.5 63


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 24 2012 (237) Radford 54.7 59.6 70.2 74
@ (346) Citadel 51.6 74 66.7 61
Jan 05 2013 (220) Western Carolina 60.1 63.8 67.1 72
@ (346) Citadel 51.6 74 66.7 55
Nov 18 2012 (263) NJIT 54.1 60.9 69.5 74
@ (342) South Carolina St. 51.4 67.9 68.1 77


Samford @ College of Charleston


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
327 Samford 2-12 58.2 71 62.9 3.6 % 60 53.6 55
137 @ College of Charleston 10-3 59.4 57.5 64.5 96.4 % - 74.4 69


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 08 2012 (327) Samford 58.2 71 62.9 42
@ (202) Bowling Green 56 58.2 65.5 57
Nov 21 2012 (327) Samford 58.2 71 62.9 69
@ (157) Toledo 61 60.5 68.1 82
Dec 19 2012 (311) Texas-Pan American 57.1 67.9 66.2 49
@ (106) Tulane 61.5 57.6 63.9 76


USC @ Colorado


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
113 USC 6-9 59.9 56.5 66.9 11.2 % 70 52 63
42 @ Colorado 10-4 64.5 54.2 70.3 88.8 % - 64.5 70


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 30 2012 (135) Loyola Maryland 60 58.1 64.6 64
@ (45) Memphis 64.1 54.1 69.7 78
Nov 19 2012 (113) USC 59.9 56.5 66.9 64
@ (33) Illinois 66.5 55.2 69.1 94
Dec 15 2012 (122) Northern Iowa 60.5 57.7 64.9 73
@ (46) Iowa 63.5 53.6 70.2 80


Denver @ Idaho


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
57 Denver 7-7 63 54.4 60.3 63.4 % 57 63.6 60
147 @ Idaho 5-7 64.2 63.2 64.5 36.6 % - 62 57


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 02 2012 (28) Wichita St. 65.2 53.4 66.1 72
@ (126) Air Force 64.5 61.9 65.7 69
Dec 01 2012 (93) Texas A&M 62.1 56.8 61.3 70
@ (158) Houston 63.2 62.7 70.6 58
Nov 28 2012 (35) Wyoming 65.8 54.6 61.7 68
@ (203) California-Santa Barbara 61 63.4 65 40


Detroit @ Youngstown St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
82 Detroit 8-5 66.2 60.3 70 49.8 % 73 62.1 74
149 @ Youngstown St. 6-6 59.3 58.5 70.5 50.2 % - 63.1 77


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 13 2012 (82) Detroit 66.2 60.3 70 74
@ (101) St. John's (NY) 59.2 54.8 68 77
Nov 28 2012 (124) Kent St. 62.6 59.8 67.8 85
@ (149) Youngstown St. 59.3 58.5 70.5 78
Nov 15 2012 (114) Murray St. 63.6 60.1 68.1 79
@ (128) Auburn 59.4 57 68.8 59


Stetson @ East Tennessee St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
274 Stetson 4-10 59.4 67 69.4 52.3 % 67 58.7 62
321 @ East Tennessee St. 2-12 50 61.7 64.8 47.7 % - 60.4 62


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 17 2012 (323) Tennessee Tech 56 68.1 66 65
@ (321) East Tennessee St. 50 61.7 64.8 62
Dec 18 2012 (274) Stetson 59.4 67 69.4 69
@ (252) Florida Atlantic 56.1 62.1 66.7 68
Dec 22 2012 (215) Oakland 59.4 62.9 69.2 59
@ (293) Eastern Michigan 50.8 60 64.3 57


Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
323 Tennessee Tech 4-9 56 68.1 66 29.9 % 60 59.5 59
320 @ Eastern Illinois 3-12 54.2 65.9 61 70.1 % - 65.9 61


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 17 2012 (311) Texas-Pan American 57.1 67.9 66.2 50
@ (320) Eastern Illinois 54.2 65.9 61 63
Dec 08 2012 (289) Utah Valley 56.9 65.8 67.2 86
@ (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 82
Dec 21 2012 (279) Texas-San Antonio 58.7 66.6 67 75
@ (324) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 54.2 66.4 65.9 45


Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
285 Northern Arizona 5-9 55.1 63.7 70.2 31.1 % 73 59.3 77
294 @ Eastern Washington 3-11 57.3 66.7 69.9 68.9 % - 64.6 78


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 20 2012 (289) Utah Valley 56.9 65.8 67.2 86
@ (294) Eastern Washington 57.3 66.7 69.9 83
Nov 24 2012 (285) Northern Arizona 55.1 63.7 70.2 70
@ (246) Campbell 59.1 64.5 69.4 62
Dec 08 2012 (314) Tennessee-Martin 53.5 64.6 70.1 62
@ (315) Lipscomb 55.7 66.9 70.9 86


Florida Gulf Coast @ South Carolina Upstate


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
139 Florida Gulf Coast 9-6 59.9 58.1 70.6 30 % 68 59.1 68
136 @ South Carolina Upstate 6-7 63.5 61.6 64.9 70 % - 65.2 66


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Jan 09 2013 (152) Nevada-Reno 59.8 59 68.4 65
@ (126) Air Force 64.5 61.9 65.7 78
Dec 18 2012 (125) North Carolina-Asheville 60.8 58.1 73 79
@ (163) Northeastern 63.6 63.4 64.1 73
Nov 21 2012 (128) Auburn 59.4 57 68.8 49
@ (116) Boston College 63.8 60.6 65.5 50


Robert Morris @ Fairleigh Dickinson


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
172 Robert Morris 8-7 60.1 60.4 67.1 69.8 % 70 65 76
305 @ Fairleigh Dickinson 6-8 57.4 67.6 70.2 30.2 % - 61.2 74


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 04 2012 (172) Robert Morris 60.1 60.4 67.1 61
@ (246) Campbell 59.1 64.5 69.4 58
Dec 07 2012 (243) Lafayette 59.7 65 67 80
@ (305) Fairleigh Dickinson 57.4 67.6 70.2 82
Nov 20 2012 (220) Western Carolina 60.1 63.8 67.1 71
@ (295) Austin Peay 58.6 68.1 70.5 72


Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
252 Florida Atlantic 7-8 56.1 62.1 66.7 2.8 % 65 46.9 50
56 @ Middle Tennessee St. 12-4 61.3 52.6 66 97.2 % - 67.1 70


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 18 2012 (219) Tennessee St. 56.4 60.1 68.4 48
@ (56) Middle Tennessee St. 61.3 52.6 66 77
Nov 11 2012 (273) Louisiana-Monroe 54.9 62.5 67 51
@ (40) Oklahoma 63.1 52.8 66.9 85
Dec 31 2012 (248) North Texas 58.2 63.9 68.7 57
@ (56) Middle Tennessee St. 61.3 52.6 66 75


Old Dominion @ George Mason


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
217 Old Dominion 2-13 59.8 63.4 65.7 12 % 66 54.4 60
120 @ George Mason 8-6 59.6 56.8 67.6 88 % - 66.6 71


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 23 2012 (199) William & Mary 60.9 63 68.6 57
@ (118) Wake Forest 60 57 68.9 63
Jan 03 2013 (163) Northeastern 63.6 63.4 64.1 84
@ (120) George Mason 59.6 56.8 67.6 74
Jan 05 2013 (176) Western Kentucky 59.6 60.4 66.4 61
@ (111) Arkansas St. 59.8 56.3 68.1 75


St. Mary's (CA) @ Gonzaga


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
51 St. Mary's (CA) 11-3 69.1 59.8 66.8 10 % 66 62.9 67
10 @ Gonzaga 14-1 73.9 56.4 66.9 90 % - 77.8 78


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 28 2012 (20) Baylor 69.5 56.1 68.9 87
@ (10) Gonzaga 73.9 56.4 66.9 94
Nov 25 2012 (79) Davidson 64.8 58.8 65.3 67
@ (10) Gonzaga 73.9 56.4 66.9 81
Dec 08 2012 (33) Illinois 66.5 55.2 69.1 85
@ (10) Gonzaga 73.9 56.4 66.9 74


IP-Fort Wayne @ North Dakota St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
256 IP-Fort Wayne 6-9 55.8 62.1 69.3 2 % 63 48.8 49
38 @ North Dakota St. 11-3 65.7 54.9 61.3 98 % - 71.6 69


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 21 2012 (234) Morehead St. 55.8 60.4 71.6 49
@ (38) North Dakota St. 65.7 54.9 61.3 69
Nov 24 2012 (236) CSU-Bakersfield 56.2 61 67.4 49
@ (35) Wyoming 65.8 54.6 61.7 63
Jan 02 2013 (275) Pennsylvania 53.5 61.2 69.7 57
@ (39) Butler 65.7 55.3 65 70


IUPUI @ Nebraska-Omaha


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
288 IUPUI 4-13 59.1 67.9 68.9 61.2 % 73 67.9 77
343 @ Nebraska-Omaha 3-13 55.1 71.7 71.3 38.8 % - 66.7 79


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 29 2012 (250) South Dakota 60.4 66.2 69.4 95
@ (343) Nebraska-Omaha 55.1 71.7 71.3 72
Dec 31 2012 (305) Fairleigh Dickinson 57.4 67.6 70.2 79
@ (337) Longwood 53 67.6 72 71
Nov 30 2012 (323) Tennessee Tech 56 68.1 66 64
@ (315) Lipscomb 55.7 66.9 70.9 80


Iona @ Marist


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
108 Iona 9-6 67 63.4 74.5 73.1 % 77 65.6 84
266 @ Marist 4-11 54.5 61.3 70.5 26.9 % - 61.2 72


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Jan 09 2013 (112) CSU-Fullerton 67 63.5 72.6 74
@ (236) CSU-Bakersfield 56.2 61 67.4 62
Dec 09 2012 (132) Canisius 65.1 63 68.3 94
@ (266) Marist 54.5 61.3 70.5 82
Dec 05 2012 (108) Iona 67 63.4 74.5 62
@ (228) St. Peter's 55.1 59.5 64.3 64


Michigan St. @ Iowa


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
19 Michigan St. 11-3 66.1 52.2 66 46.9 % 69 57.4 62
46 @ Iowa 11-4 63.5 53.6 70.2 53.1 % - 58.9 64


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 09 2012 (19) Michigan St. 66.1 52.2 66 62
@ (55) Connecticut 64.2 55.2 68.3 66
Dec 13 2012 (56) Middle Tennessee St. 61.3 52.6 66 49
@ (30) Belmont 64.1 52.5 68.5 64
Nov 23 2012 (7) Minnesota 71.6 51.6 66.8 84
@ (45) Memphis 64.1 54.1 69.7 75


Kennesaw St. @ Jacksonville


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
309 Kennesaw St. 2-13 55.2 66 63.8 32 % 67 58.2 68
316 @ Jacksonville 5-10 54.1 65.3 70.6 68 % - 63.7 74


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 01 2012 (309) Kennesaw St. 55.2 66 63.8 63
@ (314) Tennessee-Martin 53.5 64.6 70.1 65
Dec 13 2012 (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 68
@ (335) Alabama St. 52 66.3 69.2 74
Dec 19 2012 (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 64
@ (289) Utah Valley 56.9 65.8 67.2 67


Jacksonville St. @ SIU-Edwardsville


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
223 Jacksonville St. 8-5 55.9 59.8 63.9 47.6 % 63 56.3 58
282 @ SIU-Edwardsville 2-8 54.5 62.7 66.7 52.4 % - 57.5 56


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 23 2012 (223) Jacksonville St. 55.9 59.8 63.9 50
@ (285) Northern Arizona 55.1 63.7 70.2 48
Dec 31 2012 (223) Jacksonville St. 55.9 59.8 63.9 64
@ (314) Tennessee-Martin 53.5 64.6 70.1 54
Dec 29 2012 (252) Florida Atlantic 56.1 62.1 66.7 64
@ (273) Louisiana-Monroe 54.9 62.5 67 65


Kentucky @ Vanderbilt


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
11 Kentucky 9-4 65.9 48.4 70.9 90.1 % 65 59.6 67
142 @ Vanderbilt 6-6 57.3 56.1 61.6 9.9 % - 48.5 53


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Jan 06 2013 (12) Syracuse 66.6 49.6 70 55
@ (92) South Florida 61.5 56.1 63.1 44
Dec 29 2012 (39) Butler 65.7 55.3 65 68
@ (142) Vanderbilt 57.3 56.1 61.6 49
Jan 09 2013 (34) San Diego St. 64.7 53.5 67.3 65
@ (146) Fresno St. 57.8 56.8 63.1 62


Wagner @ Long Island-Brooklyn


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
183 Wagner 8-5 52.1 53.4 67.6 49.3 % 71 59.4 66
261 @ Long Island-Brooklyn 5-9 63 69.7 70.6 50.7 % - 59.6 72


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 16 2012 (254) Manhattan 52.6 58.7 65.2 48
@ (261) Long Island-Brooklyn 63 69.7 70.6 75
Nov 21 2012 (179) Gardner-Webb 53 54 67.4 72
@ (295) Austin Peay 58.6 68.1 70.5 62
Nov 28 2012 (168) Texas-Arlington 51.8 51.8 67 72
@ (248) North Texas 58.2 63.9 68.7 59


South Alabama-Mobile @ Louisiana-Lafayette


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
195 South Alabama-Mobile 6-7 59.4 61.3 68.4 40 % 73 59.5 75
227 @ Louisiana-Lafayette 5-11 58.1 62.5 71.8 60 % - 62.8 75


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 18 2012 (172) Robert Morris 60.1 60.4 67.1 66
@ (227) Louisiana-Lafayette 58.1 62.5 71.8 61
Nov 11 2012 (215) Oakland 59.4 62.9 69.2 79
@ (227) Louisiana-Lafayette 58.1 62.5 71.8 90
Dec 22 2012 (218) Duquesne 59 62.6 71.3 79
@ (227) Louisiana-Lafayette 58.1 62.5 71.8 91


Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
273 Louisiana-Monroe 3-8 54.9 62.5 67 39.7 % 64 58 57
306 @ Troy 6-10 55.2 65.5 64.7 60.3 % - 61 65


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 24 2012 (268) Tennessee-Chattanooga 54.9 61.8 68.2 65
@ (309) Kennesaw St. 55.2 66 63.8 51
Dec 27 2012 (252) Florida Atlantic 56.1 62.1 66.7 61
@ (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 54
Nov 20 2012 (231) Southeast Missouri St. 58.2 62.6 67 56
@ (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 59


Sam Houston St. @ Lamar


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
270 Sam Houston St. 5-6 51.4 58.6 67.2 62.4 % 70 54.3 68
338 @ Lamar 2-13 50.2 65 70.4 37.6 % - 51.7 60


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 08 2012 (270) Sam Houston St. 51.4 58.6 67.2 69
@ (336) Houston Baptist 48.9 63.3 71.8 57
Jan 07 2013 (319) Southeastern Louisiana 51.5 63.2 67 67
@ (338) Lamar 50.2 65 70.4 63
Dec 01 2012 (270) Sam Houston St. 51.4 58.6 67.2 60
@ (285) Northern Arizona 55.1 63.7 70.2 77


Louisiana Tech @ Texas St.-San Marcos


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
89 Louisiana Tech 12-3 61.1 55.5 73 78.9 % 79 61.9 77
258 @ Texas St.-San Marcos 3-12 56.8 63.3 73.5 21.1 % - 55.4 73


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 19 2012 (89) Louisiana Tech 61.1 55.5 73 67
@ (231) Southeast Missouri St. 58.2 62.6 67 63
Dec 22 2012 (77) Arizona St. 61 54.8 67.6 77
@ (241) Texas Tech 57.1 62.2 71.3 62
Dec 12 2012 (89) Louisiana Tech 61.1 55.5 73 72
@ (286) McNeese St. 55.3 63.9 65.9 80


California-Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
50 California-Santa Clara 10-4 67.5 58 69.9 80.1 % 69 66.9 74
216 @ Loyola Marymount 6-7 58.6 62.2 67 19.9 % - 59.9 66


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 15 2012 (50) California-Santa Clara 67.5 58 69.9 75
@ (141) Pacific 60.7 59 65.5 71
Dec 20 2012 (75) Lehigh 66.1 59.8 69.9 90
@ (248) North Texas 58.2 63.9 68.7 75
Nov 09 2012 (32) Akron 66.4 55.1 68.9 70
@ (212) Coastal Carolina 58.1 61.2 65.9 74


Rider @ Manhattan


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
210 Rider 7-9 55.8 58.7 69.7 45.1 % 67 52.5 57
254 @ Manhattan 4-10 52.6 58.7 65.2 54.9 % - 54.3 56


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 25 2012 (210) Rider 55.8 58.7 69.7 74
@ (307) Wisconsin-Milwaukee 52.3 62.7 67.5 60
Dec 17 2012 (236) CSU-Bakersfield 56.2 61 67.4 51
@ (221) Portland 53.3 57.2 65.9 69
Nov 10 2012 (233) Quinnipiac 54.3 58.9 69.8 65
@ (204) Hartford 56 58.5 64.8 61


Massachusetts @ Saint Louis


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
155 Massachusetts 10-3 59.4 58.7 74.5 6 % 70 49.8 66
36 @ Saint Louis 11-3 63.3 52.3 63.3 94 % - 65.5 75


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 30 2012 (134) Northwestern St. 60.1 58.1 74.3 65
@ (40) Oklahoma 63.1 52.8 66.9 69
Dec 02 2012 (104) Valparaiso 60.4 56.1 67 49
@ (36) Saint Louis 63.3 52.3 63.3 62
Dec 05 2012 (162) UAB 58.5 58.3 75.3 64
@ (56) Middle Tennessee St. 61.3 52.6 66 84


Mercer @ North Florida


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
185 Mercer 7-7 57.6 59.1 65.5 31.6 % 65 58.3 59
198 @ North Florida 6-10 61.1 63 67.3 68.4 % - 63.6 62


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Jan 03 2013 (159) California-Irvine 58.7 58.3 66.6 71
@ (203) California-Santa Barbara 61 63.4 65 74
Dec 19 2012 (182) North Carolina Central 58.3 59.6 64.7 69
@ (208) Drake 61.4 64.1 69.7 72
Dec 22 2012 (236) CSU-Bakersfield 56.2 61 67.4 70
@ (198) North Florida 61.1 63 67.3 80


Miami (FL) @ North Carolina


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
18 Miami (FL) 10-3 65.6 50.9 64 59.6 % 71 59.5 70
59 @ North Carolina 9-4 64.6 56.3 75 40.4 % - 58.7 74


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 29 2012 (43) UNLV 63.5 53.2 71.5 73
@ (59) North Carolina 64.6 56.3 75 79
Nov 20 2012 (39) Butler 65.7 55.3 65 82
@ (59) North Carolina 64.6 56.3 75 71
Nov 24 2012 (24) Wisconsin 64.2 51.5 63.9 77
@ (64) Arkansas 66.3 58.7 71.8 70


Saint Francis (PA) @ Monmouth


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
331 Saint Francis (PA) 1-12 53.2 66.6 64.4 23.9 % 70 53 63
313 @ Monmouth 5-10 51 61.9 73.1 76.1 % - 60.9 67


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 09 2012 (312) Hofstra 53.7 64.6 67.9 62
@ (313) Monmouth 51 61.9 73.1 91
Dec 05 2012 (272) Navy 56.6 64 62.1 85
@ (313) Monmouth 51 61.9 73.1 66
Nov 19 2012 (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 68
@ (268) Tennessee-Chattanooga 54.9 61.8 68.2 61


Montana @ North Dakota


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
186 Montana 6-4 58.6 60.1 65.3 66.3 % 66 61.8 69
304 @ North Dakota 2-9 55.5 65.7 68.6 33.7 % - 58.8 64


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 05 2012 (200) Holy Cross 58.3 60.4 63.9 83
@ (308) Sacred Heart 55.7 66.4 68.6 78
Dec 22 2012 (182) North Carolina Central 58.3 59.6 64.7 73
@ (289) Utah Valley 56.9 65.8 67.2 67
Dec 19 2012 (186) Montana 58.6 60.1 65.3 62
@ (285) Northern Arizona 55.1 63.7 70.2 56


Montana St. @ Northern Colorado


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
267 Montana St. 3-7 57.1 64 69.9 55.2 % 73 60.6 69
326 @ Northern Colorado 1-9 53.3 65.9 70.4 44.8 % - 60.6 73


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 17 2012 (267) Montana St. 57.1 64 69.9 80
@ (285) Northern Arizona 55.1 63.7 70.2 87
Jan 09 2013 (246) Campbell 59.1 64.5 69.4 83
@ (337) Longwood 53 67.6 72 73
Jan 05 2013 (235) St. Francis-Brooklyn 59.1 63.7 69.3 65
@ (308) Sacred Heart 55.7 66.4 68.6 66


Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis-Brooklyn


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
290 Mount St. Mary's 6-7 56.8 65.7 66.2 16.8 % 68 58.1 72
235 @ St. Francis-Brooklyn 5-8 59.1 63.7 69.3 83.2 % - 68.5 75


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Jan 03 2013 (306) Troy 55.2 65.5 64.7 59
@ (248) North Texas 58.2 63.9 68.7 76
Dec 19 2012 (255) Appalachian St. 57 63.2 69 69
@ (226) South Carolina 59.4 63.7 69.2 74
Dec 22 2012 (299) Nicholls St. 55.6 65.4 68 71
@ (206) California-Davis 60.5 63 69.3 82


New Mexico St. @ Seattle


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
160 New Mexico St. 7-8 60.4 60 66 41.7 % 72 57.4 66
205 @ Seattle 4-8 56.9 59.4 73.3 58.3 % - 60.2 62


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 09 2012 (172) Robert Morris 60.1 60.4 67.1 54
@ (210) Rider 55.8 58.7 69.7 79
Jan 03 2013 (176) Western Kentucky 59.6 60.4 66.4 67
@ (222) Arkansas-Little Rock 57.2 61.1 68.2 75
Dec 01 2012 (195) South Alabama-Mobile 59.4 61.3 68.4 79
@ (189) Florida International 58.2 59.7 70.7 68


North Texas @ Arkansas-Little Rock


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
248 North Texas 5-9 58.2 63.9 68.7 24 % 69 56.9 62
222 @ Arkansas-Little Rock 8-8 57.2 61.1 68.2 76 % - 64.6 64


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 25 2012 (226) South Carolina 59.4 63.7 69.2 74
@ (222) Arkansas-Little Rock 57.2 61.1 68.2 62
Nov 23 2012 (246) Campbell 59.1 64.5 69.4 60
@ (229) North Carolina A&T 57.1 61.5 69.6 85
Nov 29 2012 (235) St. Francis-Brooklyn 59.1 63.7 69.3 79
@ (245) Norfolk St. 57.2 62.4 67.2 85


Northwestern @ Penn St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
97 Northwestern 9-6 62.6 57.7 64.1 45.1 % 62 58.2 65
144 @ Penn St. 8-6 59.1 58 65.6 54.9 % - 60.1 58


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Jan 09 2013 (88) Texas-El Paso 63 57.4 65.3 66
@ (106) Tulane 61.5 57.6 63.9 57
Jan 09 2013 (117) Evansville 62.6 59.4 66.6 62
@ (122) Northern Iowa 60.5 57.7 64.9 59
Dec 08 2012 (122) Northern Iowa 60.5 57.7 64.9 82
@ (120) George Mason 59.6 56.8 67.6 77


Northwestern St. @ Oral Roberts


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
134 Northwestern St. 5-4 60.1 58.1 74.3 34 % 74 59.8 78
148 @ Oral Roberts 6-7 63.1 62.1 67.3 66 % - 64.7 77


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 18 2012 (125) North Carolina-Asheville 60.8 58.1 73 79
@ (163) Northeastern 63.6 63.4 64.1 73
Dec 04 2012 (155) Massachusetts 59.4 58.7 74.5 72
@ (163) Northeastern 63.6 63.4 64.1 66
Dec 22 2012 (111) Arkansas St. 59.8 56.3 68.1 69
@ (124) Kent St. 62.6 59.8 67.8 73


Oakland @ South Dakota St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
215 Oakland 5-10 59.4 62.9 69.2 20 % 67 60.3 72
174 @ South Dakota St. 8-6 62.9 63.3 65.4 80 % - 69.6 78


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 01 2012 (206) California-Davis 60.5 63 69.3 66
@ (147) Idaho 64.2 63.2 64.5 73
Dec 20 2012 (206) California-Davis 60.5 63 69.3 78
@ (209) Southern Illinois 62.5 65.2 64.4 70
Jan 05 2013 (184) CSU-Long Beach 60 61.4 68.4 77
@ (203) California-Santa Barbara 61 63.4 65 70


California-Santa Barbara @ Pacific


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
203 California-Santa Barbara 3-9 61 63.4 65 17.4 % 63 57.7 60
141 @ Pacific 5-7 60.7 59 65.5 82.6 % - 67.8 68


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 19 2012 (148) Oral Roberts 63.1 62.1 67.3 69
@ (141) Pacific 60.7 59 65.5 67
Nov 17 2012 (220) Western Carolina 60.1 63.8 67.1 81
@ (176) Western Kentucky 59.6 60.4 66.4 92
Dec 18 2012 (217) Old Dominion 59.8 63.4 65.7 65
@ (137) College of Charleston 59.4 57.5 64.5 76


CSU-Sacramento @ Portland St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
239 CSU-Sacramento 5-5 56 60.8 65.8 26.7 % 63 57 70
224 @ Portland St. 1-8 59.1 63.4 65 73.3 % - 63.5 69


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 09 2012 (200) Holy Cross 58.3 60.4 63.9 46
@ (217) Old Dominion 59.8 63.4 65.7 45
Nov 28 2012 (247) Cleveland St. 55.3 60.9 67.7 69
@ (262) Ball St. 56.4 63.1 64.8 63
Dec 09 2012 (236) CSU-Bakersfield 56.2 61 67.4 63
@ (174) South Dakota St. 62.9 63.3 65.4 69


San Diego @ San Francisco


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
180 San Diego 6-8 60.1 61.2 64.3 18.7 % 64 58.7 64
127 @ San Francisco 5-8 63.5 61 66.7 81.3 % - 68.4 68


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 24 2012 (150) Columbia 60.5 59.7 63.8 59
@ (127) San Francisco 63.5 61 66.7 79
Dec 18 2012 (200) Holy Cross 58.3 60.4 63.9 73
@ (127) San Francisco 63.5 61 66.7 63
Nov 30 2012 (186) Montana 58.6 60.1 65.3 68
@ (127) San Francisco 63.5 61 66.7 78


Temple @ Xavier


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
52 Temple 10-3 65.5 56.3 67.1 56.2 % 64 59.4 64
123 @ Xavier 7-6 59.1 56.3 64 43.8 % - 58.6 69


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 13 2012 (39) Butler 65.7 55.3 65 47
@ (123) Xavier 59.1 56.3 64 62
Nov 18 2012 (32) Akron 66.4 55.1 68.9 85
@ (144) Penn St. 59.1 58 65.6 60
Dec 30 2012 (60) Dayton 63.5 55.4 68.6 61
@ (113) USC 59.9 56.5 66.9 63


Tennessee-Martin @ Tennessee St.


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
314 Tennessee-Martin 2-12 53.5 64.6 70.1 10 % 71 51.5 62
219 @ Tennessee St. 7-7 56.4 60.1 68.4 90 % - 64.6 76


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 09 2012 (314) Tennessee-Martin 53.5 64.6 70.1 68
@ (222) Arkansas-Little Rock 57.2 61.1 68.2 84
Nov 21 2012 (316) Jacksonville 54.1 65.3 70.6 56
@ (222) Arkansas-Little Rock 57.2 61.1 68.2 78
Nov 23 2012 (316) Jacksonville 54.1 65.3 70.6 71
@ (210) Rider 55.8 58.7 69.7 86


Texas-Arlington @ Texas-San Antonio


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
168 Texas-Arlington 6-6 51.8 51.8 67 62 % 67 56.2 58
279 @ Texas-San Antonio 4-10 58.7 66.6 67 38 % - 53.6 59


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 03 2012 (168) Texas-Arlington 51.8 51.8 67 60
@ (311) Texas-Pan American 57.1 67.9 66.2 51
Nov 28 2012 (168) Texas-Arlington 51.8 51.8 67 72
@ (248) North Texas 58.2 63.9 68.7 59
Jan 05 2013 (179) Gardner-Webb 53 54 67.4 81
@ (246) Campbell 59.1 64.5 69.4 93


UCLA @ Utah


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
25 UCLA 12-3 70.1 57.5 71.4 54.5 % 66 63.7 73
83 @ Utah 6-6 62.2 56.2 62 45.5 % - 63.2 67


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Dec 05 2012 (29) Boise St. 67.9 56.2 66.2 55
@ (83) Utah 62.2 56.2 62 76
Nov 20 2012 (25) UCLA 70.1 57.5 71.4 60
@ (133) Georgia 57.6 55.6 63.5 56
Jan 09 2013 (64) Arkansas 66.3 58.7 71.8 51
@ (93) Texas A&M 62.1 56.8 61.3 69


Weber St. @ Southern Utah


Rank Team W-L AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Log5 Win % ExpPOS ExpOE Exp Score
70 Weber St. 7-3 63.4 56.4 66.6 0 % -1 3.7 0
167 @ Southern Utah 0-11 0 0 0 100 % - -3.3 0


3 most similar matchups:



Date Team AdjOE AdjDE AdjPOS Score
Nov 16 2012 (177) Wisconsin-Green Bay 59.6 60.5 66.1 66
@ (167) Southern Utah 0 0 0
Dec 04 2012 (180) San Diego 60.1 61.2 64.3 67
@ (167) Southern Utah 0 0 0
Dec 17 2012 (304) North Dakota 55.5 65.7 68.6 67
@ (167) Southern Utah 0 0 0